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icon for Is Earth flat?

Is Earth flat?

icon for Is Earth flat?

Is Earth flat?

2% 概率
Polymarket

$31,288 交易量

2% 概率
Polymarket

$31,288 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming scientific consensus, reinforced through decades of satellite imagery, space missions, and physics demonstrations widely depicted in documentaries and educational media, drives the 97.5% implied probability against a flat Earth. Trader sentiment reflects this cultural dominance, where mainstream narratives from NASA footage to globe-spanning films and viral science explainers have cemented the spherical model as settled fact, with minimal recent momentum for contrarian views beyond niche online communities. While realistic upset scenarios remain remote given the absence of credible new evidence or paradigm-shifting announcements, any hypothetical breakthrough in alternative cosmology would need to upend established visual records and global navigation systems to shift odds meaningfully before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$31,288
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming scientific consensus, reinforced through decades of satellite imagery, space missions, and physics demonstrations widely depicted in documentaries and educational media, drives the 97.5% implied probability against a flat Earth. Trader sentiment reflects this cultural dominance, where mainstream narratives from NASA footage to globe-spanning films and viral science explainers have cemented the spherical model as settled fact, with minimal recent momentum for contrarian views beyond niche online communities. While realistic upset scenarios remain remote given the absence of credible new evidence or paradigm-shifting announcements, any hypothetical breakthrough in alternative cosmology would need to upend established visual records and global navigation systems to shift odds meaningfully before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$31,288
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 8, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Is Earth flat?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 2%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 2¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 2%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Is Earth flat?"已产生 $31.3K 的总交易量(自Jun 8, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Is Earth flat?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Is Earth flat?"的当前概率为 2%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 2%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Is Earth flat?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。