The overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds for no prison time reflect the misdemeanor domestic battery charge filed after Jack Doherty’s September 4, 2026 arrest in Fort Lauderdale, which carries a maximum of one year in county jail under Florida law rather than state prison. Verified police reports and court records show no injuries to the alleged victim and confirm Doherty posted bond quickly before pleading not guilty, consistent with his prior drug-related case that resolved through a pre-trial diversion program without conviction. Traders weigh the low likelihood of incarceration for a first-degree misdemeanor against the influencer’s legal history and typical outcomes in similar cases. An upset producing any prison exposure would require charge upgrades to felony level or an unusually harsh sentence after trial, both viewed as low-probability developments given current filings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jack Doherty监狱时间？
Jack Doherty监狱时间？
无监禁 91.0%
少于2年 5.6%
2到5年 2.3%
5年以上 2.2%
$23,072 交易量
$23,072 交易量
2026-10-30
无监禁
91%
少于2年
6%
2到5年
2%
5年以上
2%
无监禁 91.0%
少于2年 5.6%
2到5年 2.3%
5年以上 2.2%
$23,072 交易量
$23,072 交易量
2026-10-30
无监禁
$13,507 交易量
91%
少于2年
$3,394 交易量
6%
2到5年
$2,453 交易量
2%
5年以上
$3,717 交易量
2%
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds for no prison time reflect the misdemeanor domestic battery charge filed after Jack Doherty’s September 4, 2026 arrest in Fort Lauderdale, which carries a maximum of one year in county jail under Florida law rather than state prison. Verified police reports and court records show no injuries to the alleged victim and confirm Doherty posted bond quickly before pleading not guilty, consistent with his prior drug-related case that resolved through a pre-trial diversion program without conviction. Traders weigh the low likelihood of incarceration for a first-degree misdemeanor against the influencer’s legal history and typical outcomes in similar cases. An upset producing any prison exposure would require charge upgrades to felony level or an unusually harsh sentence after trial, both viewed as low-probability developments given current filings.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$23,072结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETYouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds for no prison time reflect the misdemeanor domestic battery charge filed after Jack Doherty’s September 4, 2026 arrest in Fort Lauderdale, which carries a maximum of one year in county jail under Florida law rather than state prison. Verified police reports and court records show no injuries to the alleged victim and confirm Doherty posted bond quickly before pleading not guilty, consistent with his prior drug-related case that resolved through a pre-trial diversion program without conviction. Traders weigh the low likelihood of incarceration for a first-degree misdemeanor against the influencer’s legal history and typical outcomes in similar cases. An upset producing any prison exposure would require charge upgrades to felony level or an unusually harsh sentence after trial, both viewed as low-probability developments given current filings.
YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,072结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ETThe overwhelming 90.5% market-implied odds for no prison time reflect the misdemeanor domestic battery charge filed after Jack Doherty’s September 4, 2026 arrest in Fort Lauderdale, which carries a maximum of one year in county jail under Florida law rather than state prison. Verified police reports and court records show no injuries to the alleged victim and confirm Doherty posted bond quickly before pleading not guilty, consistent with his prior drug-related case that resolved through a pre-trial diversion program without conviction. Traders weigh the low likelihood of incarceration for a first-degree misdemeanor against the influencer’s legal history and typical outcomes in similar cases. An upset producing any prison exposure would require charge upgrades to felony level or an unusually harsh sentence after trial, both viewed as low-probability developments given current filings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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