Traders overwhelmingly back under 300k first-week units for Kanye West's 'Bully' (81.5% implied probability), reflecting diminished hype amid his ongoing controversies, including antisemitic remarks that triggered boycotts and severed major label ties. The album's surprise independent drop on SoundCloud bypassed traditional retail and streaming bundles, yielding tepid early metrics—under 5 million U.S. streams in its debut day per Luminate data—far below Ye's Vultures peaks of 148k units. Historical precedents like Donda 2's sub-200k sales underscore fanbase erosion, while 300k-400k (10.5%) trails as a cautious upside if viral moments emerge before trackers finalize midweek. Higher bins languish on absent radio play and promo.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 82%
300k-400k 10%
600k-700k 4.3%
800k-900k 3.7%
<300k
82%
300k-400k
10%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
3%
600k-700k
4%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
<300k 82%
300k-400k 10%
600k-700k 4.3%
800k-900k 3.7%
<300k
82%
300k-400k
10%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
3%
600k-700k
4%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
4%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back under 300k first-week units for Kanye West's 'Bully' (81.5% implied probability), reflecting diminished hype amid his ongoing controversies, including antisemitic remarks that triggered boycotts and severed major label ties. The album's surprise independent drop on SoundCloud bypassed traditional retail and streaming bundles, yielding tepid early metrics—under 5 million U.S. streams in its debut day per Luminate data—far below Ye's Vultures peaks of 148k units. Historical precedents like Donda 2's sub-200k sales underscore fanbase erosion, while 300k-400k (10.5%) trails as a cautious upside if viral moments emerge before trackers finalize midweek. Higher bins languish on absent radio play and promo.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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