**MLB sluggers have produced no four-home-run games through late August 2026, following three such outbursts in 2025 by Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber.** This rarity—only 21 instances league-wide—creates a near-even trader split at 51.5% for Yes. Offensive environments, power-hitting depth among top home-run leaders, and extra at-bats in high-scoring contests support the slight lean toward occurrence before season's end. Conversely, the absence to date, combined with variable pitching matchups and the feat's historical infrequency, keeps the market balanced. Late-season surges by elite power bats or prolonged suppression of long balls could shift implied probabilities in either direction before the campaign concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-27
0% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-27
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**MLB sluggers have produced no four-home-run games through late August 2026, following three such outbursts in 2025 by Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber.** This rarity—only 21 instances league-wide—creates a near-even trader split at 51.5% for Yes. Offensive environments, power-hitting depth among top home-run leaders, and extra at-bats in high-scoring contests support the slight lean toward occurrence before season's end. Conversely, the absence to date, combined with variable pitching matchups and the feat's historical infrequency, keeps the market balanced. Late-season surges by elite power bats or prolonged suppression of long balls could shift implied probabilities in either direction before the campaign concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
交易量
$3结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**MLB sluggers have produced no four-home-run games through late August 2026, following three such outbursts in 2025 by Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber.** This rarity—only 21 instances league-wide—creates a near-even trader split at 51.5% for Yes. Offensive environments, power-hitting depth among top home-run leaders, and extra at-bats in high-scoring contests support the slight lean toward occurrence before season's end. Conversely, the absence to date, combined with variable pitching matchups and the feat's historical infrequency, keeps the market balanced. Late-season surges by elite power bats or prolonged suppression of long balls could shift implied probabilities in either direction before the campaign concludes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player hits four or more home runs in a single game during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four home runs by a player in any length regular season game will count toward resolution. Inside-the-park home runs will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if a player hit four home runs in a single game within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 7:03 PM ET**MLB sluggers have produced no four-home-run games through late August 2026, following three such outbursts in 2025 by Eugenio Suárez, Nick Kurtz, and Kyle Schwarber.** This rarity—only 21 instances league-wide—creates a near-even trader split at 51.5% for Yes. Offensive environments, power-hitting depth among top home-run leaders, and extra at-bats in high-scoring contests support the slight lean toward occurrence before season's end. Conversely, the absence to date, combined with variable pitching matchups and the feat's historical infrequency, keeps the market balanced. Late-season surges by elite power bats or prolonged suppression of long balls could shift implied probabilities in either direction before the campaign concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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