Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, rooted in the feat's extreme historical rarity—only 24 thrown across 150+ years, none since Domingo Germán's 2023 gem despite periodic no-hitter surges. With the season just underway after Opening Day on March 25 (Giants-Yankees) and initial games through March 27 yielding no dominant outings or shutout bids, early pitching rotations like the Dodgers' and Braves' show solid ERAs but lack the flawless command required for 27 straight outs sans walks, hits, or errors. Clusters occur rarely, yet offense-friendly trends and defensive lapses sustain the low seasonal odds, barring an unforeseen ace emergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no perfect game in the 2026 MLB season at 90.5% implied probability, rooted in the feat's extreme historical rarity—only 24 thrown across 150+ years, none since Domingo Germán's 2023 gem despite periodic no-hitter surges. With the season just underway after Opening Day on March 25 (Giants-Yankees) and initial games through March 27 yielding no dominant outings or shutout bids, early pitching rotations like the Dodgers' and Braves' show solid ERAs but lack the flawless command required for 27 straight outs sans walks, hits, or errors. Clusters occur rarely, yet offense-friendly trends and defensive lapses sustain the low seasonal odds, barring an unforeseen ace emergence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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