Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2025年最受欢迎的男孩名字
利亚姆 100.0%
诺亚 <1%
Oliver <1%
西奥多 <1%
$922,040 交易量
$922,040 交易量
利亚姆
是
诺亚
否
Oliver
否
西奥多
否
詹姆斯
否
亨利
否
马特奥
否
以利亚
否
卢卡斯
否
分组项标题:威廉
否
利亚姆 100.0%
诺亚 <1%
Oliver <1%
西奥多 <1%
$922,040 交易量
$922,040 交易量
利亚姆
是
诺亚
否
Oliver
否
西奥多
否
詹姆斯
否
亨利
否
马特奥
否
以利亚
否
卢卡斯
否
分组项标题:威廉
否
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
市场开放时间: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题