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icon for 下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

icon for 下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

尚未选出邦德 98.3%

分组项标题:Callum Turner 1.3%

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 <1%

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪 <1%

Polymarket

$3,198,703 交易量

尚未选出邦德 98.3%

分组项标题:Callum Turner 1.3%

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 <1%

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪 <1%

Polymarket

$3,198,703 交易量

icon for 尚未选出邦德

尚未选出邦德

$351,994 交易量

98%

icon for 分组项标题:Callum Turner

分组项标题:Callum Turner

$168,627 交易量

1%

icon for 亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊

$168,910 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪

$293,913 交易量

<1%

icon for 哈里斯·迪金森

哈里斯·迪金森

$231,376 交易量

<1%

icon for 亨利·卡维尔

亨利·卡维尔

$461,356 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:詹姆斯·诺顿

分组项标题:詹姆斯·诺顿

$196,446 交易量

<1%

icon for 保罗·梅斯卡尔

保罗·梅斯卡尔

$275,645 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:汤姆·哈迪

分组项标题:汤姆·哈迪

$145,154 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮尔斯·布鲁斯南

皮尔斯·布鲁斯南

$254,670 交易量

<1%

icon for 汤姆·霍兰德

汤姆·霍兰德

$271,535 交易量

<1%

icon for 杰克·洛登

杰克·洛登

$160,928 交易量

<1%

icon for 西奥·詹姆斯

西奥·詹姆斯

$73,873 交易量

<1%

icon for 罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔

罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔

$70,243 交易量

<1%

icon for 乔什·奥康纳

乔什·奥康纳

$74,034 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,198,703
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,198,703
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"尚未选出邦德",概率为 98%,其次是"分组项标题:Callum Turner",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"已产生 $3.2 million 的总交易量(自Aug 4, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"的当前领先者是"尚未选出邦德",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题:Callum Turner",概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。