Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent CinemaCon confirmation that casting remains undecided despite rampant rumors, with producers like Barbara Broccoli urging patience amid a deliberate search process expected to extend into mid-2026 under director Denis Villeneuve. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.8% lead reflects his surging betting odds from roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat, positioning him as the frontrunner in industry speculation, while Jacob Elordi's 2.9% follows Euphoria and Saltburn buzz elevating his profile. Lower probabilities for Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Henry Cavill, and others underscore the secretive Eon Productions process and lack of official shortlists, with announcement timelines hinging on Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three wrap-up.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?
尚未选出邦德 69%
分组项标题:Callum Turner 4.8%
分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪 2.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.7%
$2,069,832 交易量
$2,069,832 交易量

尚未选出邦德
69%

分组项标题:Callum Turner
5%

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪
3%

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
2%

分组项标题:詹姆斯·诺顿
1%

西奥·詹姆斯
1%

哈里斯·迪金森
1%

亨利·卡维尔
1%

罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
1%

保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%

分组项标题:汤姆·哈迪
<1%

皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%

汤姆·霍兰德
<1%

杰克·洛登
<1%

乔什·奥康纳
<1%
尚未选出邦德 69%
分组项标题:Callum Turner 4.8%
分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪 2.9%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.7%
$2,069,832 交易量
$2,069,832 交易量

尚未选出邦德
69%

分组项标题:Callum Turner
5%

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪
3%

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
2%

分组项标题:詹姆斯·诺顿
1%

西奥·詹姆斯
1%

哈里斯·迪金森
1%

亨利·卡维尔
1%

罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
1%

保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%

分组项标题:汤姆·哈迪
<1%

皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%

汤姆·霍兰德
<1%

杰克·洛登
<1%

乔什·奥康纳
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent CinemaCon confirmation that casting remains undecided despite rampant rumors, with producers like Barbara Broccoli urging patience amid a deliberate search process expected to extend into mid-2026 under director Denis Villeneuve. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.8% lead reflects his surging betting odds from roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat, positioning him as the frontrunner in industry speculation, while Jacob Elordi's 2.9% follows Euphoria and Saltburn buzz elevating his profile. Lower probabilities for Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Henry Cavill, and others underscore the secretive Eon Productions process and lack of official shortlists, with announcement timelines hinging on Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three wrap-up.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题