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icon for 下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

icon for 下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?

尚未选出邦德 69%

分组项标题:Callum Turner 4.8%

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪 2.9%

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,069,832 交易量

尚未选出邦德 69%

分组项标题:Callum Turner 4.8%

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪 2.9%

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.7%

Polymarket

$2,069,832 交易量

icon for 尚未选出邦德

尚未选出邦德

$263,041 交易量

69%

icon for 分组项标题:Callum Turner

分组项标题:Callum Turner

$130,947 交易量

5%

icon for 分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪

分组项标题:雅各布·埃洛迪

$250,217 交易量

3%

icon for 亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊

亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊

$106,033 交易量

2%

icon for 分组项标题:詹姆斯·诺顿

分组项标题:詹姆斯·诺顿

$116,079 交易量

1%

icon for 西奥·詹姆斯

西奥·詹姆斯

$35,371 交易量

1%

icon for 哈里斯·迪金森

哈里斯·迪金森

$150,764 交易量

1%

icon for 亨利·卡维尔

亨利·卡维尔

$304,885 交易量

1%

icon for 罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔

罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔

$36,813 交易量

1%

icon for 保罗·梅斯卡尔

保罗·梅斯卡尔

$219,750 交易量

<1%

icon for 分组项标题:汤姆·哈迪

分组项标题:汤姆·哈迪

$79,336 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮尔斯·布鲁斯南

皮尔斯·布鲁斯南

$184,263 交易量

<1%

icon for 汤姆·霍兰德

汤姆·霍兰德

$71,003 交易量

<1%

icon for 杰克·洛登

杰克·洛登

$83,790 交易量

<1%

icon for 乔什·奥康纳

乔什·奥康纳

$38,079 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent CinemaCon confirmation that casting remains undecided despite rampant rumors, with producers like Barbara Broccoli urging patience amid a deliberate search process expected to extend into mid-2026 under director Denis Villeneuve. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.8% lead reflects his surging betting odds from roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat, positioning him as the frontrunner in industry speculation, while Jacob Elordi's 2.9% follows Euphoria and Saltburn buzz elevating his profile. Lower probabilities for Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Henry Cavill, and others underscore the secretive Eon Productions process and lack of official shortlists, with announcement timelines hinging on Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three wrap-up.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,069,832
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent CinemaCon confirmation that casting remains undecided despite rampant rumors, with producers like Barbara Broccoli urging patience amid a deliberate search process expected to extend into mid-2026 under director Denis Villeneuve. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.8% lead reflects his surging betting odds from roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat, positioning him as the frontrunner in industry speculation, while Jacob Elordi's 2.9% follows Euphoria and Saltburn buzz elevating his profile. Lower probabilities for Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Henry Cavill, and others underscore the secretive Eon Productions process and lack of official shortlists, with announcement timelines hinging on Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three wrap-up.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,069,832
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"尚未选出邦德",概率为 69%,其次是"分组项标题:Callum Turner",概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 69¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 69%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"已产生 $2.1 million 的总交易量(自Aug 4, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"的当前领先者是"尚未选出邦德",概率为 69%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 69%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题:Callum Turner",概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。