Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor chosen anytime soon at 70.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' ongoing delays for Bond 26—now the franchise's longest production gap post-No Time to Die—and producers' recent calls for patience amid script finalization by Steven Knight under Denis Villeneuve's direction. Callum Turner holds a slim edge as frontrunner at 4.5% with persistent buzz from his Masters of the Air breakout and betting market parallels, while Jacob Elordi's 3.4% odds surged on May 6-8 insider reports placing him in "pole position" after meetings with studio execs. Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded 1.3% trails amid unconfirmed past rumors; expect volatility until mid-2026 casting teases or guild-aligned announcements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
尚未选出邦德 68%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 4.5%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.3%
$2,160,373 交易量
$2,160,373 交易量
尚未选出邦德
68%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
4%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
3%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
杰克·洛登
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
尚未选出邦德 68%
分组项标题：Callum Turner 4.5%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪 3.4%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊 1.3%
$2,160,373 交易量
$2,160,373 交易量
尚未选出邦德
68%
分组项标题：Callum Turner
4%
分组项标题：雅各布·埃洛迪
3%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
哈里斯·迪金森
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
<1%
分组项标题：詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
保罗·梅斯卡尔
<1%
分组项标题：汤姆·哈迪
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
杰克·洛登
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor chosen anytime soon at 70.5% implied probability, reflecting Amazon MGM Studios' ongoing delays for Bond 26—now the franchise's longest production gap post-No Time to Die—and producers' recent calls for patience amid script finalization by Steven Knight under Denis Villeneuve's direction. Callum Turner holds a slim edge as frontrunner at 4.5% with persistent buzz from his Masters of the Air breakout and betting market parallels, while Jacob Elordi's 3.4% odds surged on May 6-8 insider reports placing him in "pole position" after meetings with studio execs. Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded 1.3% trails amid unconfirmed past rumors; expect volatility until mid-2026 casting teases or guild-aligned announcements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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