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icon for 哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？

哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？

icon for 哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？

哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？

哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？

哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？

哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第三？

哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？

哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第二？

哪部电影在2026年的开幕周末排名第三？

复仇者联盟：末日之战 53%

蜘蛛侠：全新一天 45%

饥饿游戏：收割日的黎明 <1%

沙丘：弥赛亚 <1%

Polymarket

$2,227,955 交易量

复仇者联盟：末日之战 53%

蜘蛛侠：全新一天 45%

饥饿游戏：收割日的黎明 <1%

沙丘：弥赛亚 <1%

Polymarket

$2,227,955 交易量

复仇者联盟：末日之战

$374,696 交易量

53%

蜘蛛侠：全新一天

$209,915 交易量

45%

饥饿游戏：收割日的黎明

$74,839 交易量

<1%

沙丘：弥赛亚

$166,935 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong advance ticket sales and Avengers-scale anticipation position Avengers: Doomsday as the slight market favorite for 2026’s biggest opening weekend, though Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut keeps the race tight.** Doomsday has already cleared $50 million in presales months ahead of its December 18 release, driven by Robert Downey Jr.’s Doctor Doom casting, Russo Brothers direction, and holiday timing, despite sharing the frame with Dune: Part Three and lacking IMAX exclusivity. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July 31 launch delivered franchise-best results and crossed $2 billion globally quickly, establishing a high benchmark that Doomsday must surpass. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Part Three face narrower windows and franchise-specific ceilings that limit their upside in trader consensus. Upcoming trailer reactions and holiday tracking will likely decide the final edge.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,227,955
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong advance ticket sales and Avengers-scale anticipation position Avengers: Doomsday as the slight market favorite for 2026’s biggest opening weekend, though Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic debut keeps the race tight.** Doomsday has already cleared $50 million in presales months ahead of its December 18 release, driven by Robert Downey Jr.’s Doctor Doom casting, Russo Brothers direction, and holiday timing, despite sharing the frame with Dune: Part Three and lacking IMAX exclusivity. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July 31 launch delivered franchise-best results and crossed $2 billion globally quickly, establishing a high benchmark that Doomsday must surpass. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Part Three face narrower windows and franchise-specific ceilings that limit their upside in trader consensus. Upcoming trailer reactions and holiday tracking will likely decide the final edge.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$2,227,955
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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常见问题

"哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"复仇者联盟：末日之战"，概率为 53%，其次是"蜘蛛侠：全新一天"，概率为 45%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？"已产生 $2.2 million 的总交易量（自Nov 12, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？"的当前领先者是"复仇者联盟：末日之战"，概率为 53%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"蜘蛛侠：全新一天"，概率为 45%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪部电影在2026年的首映周末最大？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。