Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 66.5% due to its positioning as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans' returns alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four characters, amplified by a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives strong opening weeks. Recent trailer and teaser drops have reinforced trader consensus around its event-film status and pre-sale momentum, despite broader superhero fatigue concerns from prior MCU entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 26% on the strength of its July 31 summer slot and Tom Holland's draw, though it lacks the same year-end timing advantage. Lower-probability contenders like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah face steeper competition from established franchises and shared release windows that could dilute their opening-week potential. Key upcoming catalysts include further trailer reactions and presale data through fall 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 28%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,214 交易量
$39,214 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
28%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 28%
Toy Story 5 1.0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$39,214 交易量
$39,214 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$5,768 交易量
67%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$5,210 交易量
28%
Toy Story 5
$1,782 交易量
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$2,387 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,920 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 66.5% due to its positioning as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans' returns alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four characters, amplified by a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives strong opening weeks. Recent trailer and teaser drops have reinforced trader consensus around its event-film status and pre-sale momentum, despite broader superhero fatigue concerns from prior MCU entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 26% on the strength of its July 31 summer slot and Tom Holland's draw, though it lacks the same year-end timing advantage. Lower-probability contenders like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah face steeper competition from established franchises and shared release windows that could dilute their opening-week potential. Key upcoming catalysts include further trailer reactions and presale data through fall 2026.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$39,214结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 66.5% due to its positioning as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans' returns alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four characters, amplified by a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives strong opening weeks. Recent trailer and teaser drops have reinforced trader consensus around its event-film status and pre-sale momentum, despite broader superhero fatigue concerns from prior MCU entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 26% on the strength of its July 31 summer slot and Tom Holland's draw, though it lacks the same year-end timing advantage. Lower-probability contenders like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah face steeper competition from established franchises and shared release windows that could dilute their opening-week potential. Key upcoming catalysts include further trailer reactions and presale data through fall 2026.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$39,214结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 66.5% due to its positioning as a major MCU crossover event featuring Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans' returns alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four characters, amplified by a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives strong opening weeks. Recent trailer and teaser drops have reinforced trader consensus around its event-film status and pre-sale momentum, despite broader superhero fatigue concerns from prior MCU entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 26% on the strength of its July 31 summer slot and Tom Holland's draw, though it lacks the same year-end timing advantage. Lower-probability contenders like Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah face steeper competition from established franchises and shared release windows that could dilute their opening-week potential. Key upcoming catalysts include further trailer reactions and presale data through fall 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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