Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 69.5% due to its status as the marquee MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four crossovers, positioned for a massive December 18, 2026, opening weekend. Trader sentiment reflects strong historical precedent for Avengers installments and absence-driven anticipation after years without a team-up. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 25% after posting record-breaking July 31 previews and tracking toward a $230–270 million domestic debut, yet faces a shorter runway to year-end totals and direct competition from established franchise benchmarks. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1–1.1%, limited by family-audience ceilings, November timing, and same-weekend release conflicts. Key upcoming catalysts include final tracking updates and December IMAX allocation decisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 25%
Toy Story 5 1.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$38,857 交易量
$38,857 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
25%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 25%
Toy Story 5 1.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$38,857 交易量
$38,857 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$5,638 交易量
70%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$4,983 交易量
25%
Toy Story 5
$1,782 交易量
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$2,387 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,920 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 69.5% due to its status as the marquee MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four crossovers, positioned for a massive December 18, 2026, opening weekend. Trader sentiment reflects strong historical precedent for Avengers installments and absence-driven anticipation after years without a team-up. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 25% after posting record-breaking July 31 previews and tracking toward a $230–270 million domestic debut, yet faces a shorter runway to year-end totals and direct competition from established franchise benchmarks. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1–1.1%, limited by family-audience ceilings, November timing, and same-weekend release conflicts. Key upcoming catalysts include final tracking updates and December IMAX allocation decisions.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$38,857结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 69.5% due to its status as the marquee MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four crossovers, positioned for a massive December 18, 2026, opening weekend. Trader sentiment reflects strong historical precedent for Avengers installments and absence-driven anticipation after years without a team-up. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 25% after posting record-breaking July 31 previews and tracking toward a $230–270 million domestic debut, yet faces a shorter runway to year-end totals and direct competition from established franchise benchmarks. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1–1.1%, limited by family-audience ceilings, November timing, and same-weekend release conflicts. Key upcoming catalysts include final tracking updates and December IMAX allocation decisions.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$38,857结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads market-implied odds at 69.5% due to its status as the marquee MCU event film reuniting Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four crossovers, positioned for a massive December 18, 2026, opening weekend. Trader sentiment reflects strong historical precedent for Avengers installments and absence-driven anticipation after years without a team-up. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 25% after posting record-breaking July 31 previews and tracking toward a $230–270 million domestic debut, yet faces a shorter runway to year-end totals and direct competition from established franchise benchmarks. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1–1.1%, limited by family-audience ceilings, November timing, and same-weekend release conflicts. Key upcoming catalysts include final tracking updates and December IMAX allocation decisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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