Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability due to its prime December 18 holiday release slot and the massive MCU momentum from recent Phase Six announcements, which historically drive record openings for Avengers entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 44.5% after delivering the biggest domestic opening weekend ever at $360 million in late July, quickly surpassing $1.1 billion globally and signaling strong audience appetite for Marvel properties. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail with minimal shares, reflecting earlier or less competitive release windows and lower franchise expectations for opening-week dominance. The tight Doomsday-Spider-Man spread highlights how holiday timing and Avengers brand power could still eclipse the summer record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$46,093 交易量
$46,093 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
45%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$46,093 交易量
$46,093 交易量
2026-12-31
Avengers: Doomsday
$7,210 交易量
56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$8,050 交易量
45%
Toy Story 5
$2,665 交易量
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,279 交易量
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$2,742 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability due to its prime December 18 holiday release slot and the massive MCU momentum from recent Phase Six announcements, which historically drive record openings for Avengers entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 44.5% after delivering the biggest domestic opening weekend ever at $360 million in late July, quickly surpassing $1.1 billion globally and signaling strong audience appetite for Marvel properties. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail with minimal shares, reflecting earlier or less competitive release windows and lower franchise expectations for opening-week dominance. The tight Doomsday-Spider-Man spread highlights how holiday timing and Avengers brand power could still eclipse the summer record.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$46,093结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability due to its prime December 18 holiday release slot and the massive MCU momentum from recent Phase Six announcements, which historically drive record openings for Avengers entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 44.5% after delivering the biggest domestic opening weekend ever at $360 million in late July, quickly surpassing $1.1 billion globally and signaling strong audience appetite for Marvel properties. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail with minimal shares, reflecting earlier or less competitive release windows and lower franchise expectations for opening-week dominance. The tight Doomsday-Spider-Man spread highlights how holiday timing and Avengers brand power could still eclipse the summer record.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$46,093结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 55.5% implied probability due to its prime December 18 holiday release slot and the massive MCU momentum from recent Phase Six announcements, which historically drive record openings for Avengers entries. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close behind at 44.5% after delivering the biggest domestic opening weekend ever at $360 million in late July, quickly surpassing $1.1 billion globally and signaling strong audience appetite for Marvel properties. Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah trail with minimal shares, reflecting earlier or less competitive release windows and lower franchise expectations for opening-week dominance. The tight Doomsday-Spider-Man spread highlights how holiday timing and Avengers brand power could still eclipse the summer record.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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