The early 2026 release slate keeps the Oscars 2027 Best Casting market wide open, with most contenders priced near 50% implied probability because few films have screened or generated guild-level casting discussion. The Odyssey sits at 44% thanks to its high-profile director and expected star ensemble, while Wild Horse Nine, Fjord, Michael, and similar titles cluster around 36% on the basis of announced casts and comparable historical Oscar trajectories for ambitious productions. Dune: Part Three and others trail further as traders await reviews, SAG nominations, and box-office signals that typically clarify casting frontrunners. Late-year releases and precursor momentum remain the key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Saturn Return 37%
Fjord 36%
Michael 36%
UNABOMBER 36%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Saturn Return
37%
Fjord
36%
Michael
36%
UNABOMBER
36%
Cry to Heaven
36%
Obsession
36%
Digger
27%
The Odyssey
45%
The Black Ball
34%
Wild Horse Nine
36%
Dune: Part Three
35%
Being Heumann
34%
Clarissa
28%
Saturn Return 37%
Fjord 36%
Michael 36%
UNABOMBER 36%
最新
最新
2027-03-14
Saturn Return
$28 交易量
37%
Fjord
$28 交易量
36%
Michael
$28 交易量
36%
UNABOMBER
$28 交易量
36%
Cry to Heaven
$28 交易量
36%
Obsession
$28 交易量
36%
Digger
$48 交易量
27%
The Odyssey
$90 交易量
45%
The Black Ball
$28 交易量
34%
Wild Horse Nine
$48 交易量
36%
Dune: Part Three
$28 交易量
35%
Being Heumann
$28 交易量
34%
Clarissa
$28 交易量
28%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2026 release slate keeps the Oscars 2027 Best Casting market wide open, with most contenders priced near 50% implied probability because few films have screened or generated guild-level casting discussion. The Odyssey sits at 44% thanks to its high-profile director and expected star ensemble, while Wild Horse Nine, Fjord, Michael, and similar titles cluster around 36% on the basis of announced casts and comparable historical Oscar trajectories for ambitious productions. Dune: Part Three and others trail further as traders await reviews, SAG nominations, and box-office signals that typically clarify casting frontrunners. Late-year releases and precursor momentum remain the key swing factors.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$466结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2026 release slate keeps the Oscars 2027 Best Casting market wide open, with most contenders priced near 50% implied probability because few films have screened or generated guild-level casting discussion. The Odyssey sits at 44% thanks to its high-profile director and expected star ensemble, while Wild Horse Nine, Fjord, Michael, and similar titles cluster around 36% on the basis of announced casts and comparable historical Oscar trajectories for ambitious productions. Dune: Part Three and others trail further as traders await reviews, SAG nominations, and box-office signals that typically clarify casting frontrunners. Late-year releases and precursor momentum remain the key swing factors.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$466结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The early 2026 release slate keeps the Oscars 2027 Best Casting market wide open, with most contenders priced near 50% implied probability because few films have screened or generated guild-level casting discussion. The Odyssey sits at 44% thanks to its high-profile director and expected star ensemble, while Wild Horse Nine, Fjord, Michael, and similar titles cluster around 36% on the basis of announced casts and comparable historical Oscar trajectories for ambitious productions. Dune: Part Three and others trail further as traders await reviews, SAG nominations, and box-office signals that typically clarify casting frontrunners. Late-year releases and precursor momentum remain the key swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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