Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMAs Best Alternative category at 71.5% implied probability, driven by her blockbuster album *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, the song’s strong critical reception for its post-punk and alternative rock leanings, and high-profile momentum including a duet with The Cure’s Robert Smith and a dedicated Grammy Museum exhibition. The category’s other nominees—Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” Tame Impala’s “Dracula,” twenty one pilots’ “Drag Path,” Geese’s “Taxes,” Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide,” and MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face”—trail significantly, reflecting Rodrigo’s superior streaming numbers, fan voting power, and broader cultural visibility ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting closes September 25, creating the final swing factor in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于VMA最佳替代品2026
VMA最佳替代品2026
The Cure（奥利维亚·罗德里戈） 51%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots） 24%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan） 14%
Dracula（Tame Impala） 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Cure（奥利维亚·罗德里戈）
72%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots）
24%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan）
14%
Dracula（Tame Impala）
13%
Fix Ur Face（MGK和Fred Durst）
8%
Homewrecker（Sombr）
8%
Taxes（Geese）
7%
The Cure（奥利维亚·罗德里戈） 51%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots） 24%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan） 14%
Dracula（Tame Impala） 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
The Cure（奥利维亚·罗德里戈）
$41 交易量
72%
Drag Path（Twenty One Pilots）
$0 交易量
24%
The Great Divide（Noah Kahan）
$0 交易量
14%
Dracula（Tame Impala）
$21 交易量
13%
Fix Ur Face（MGK和Fred Durst）
$0 交易量
8%
Homewrecker（Sombr）
$0 交易量
8%
Taxes（Geese）
$83 交易量
7%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMAs Best Alternative category at 71.5% implied probability, driven by her blockbuster album *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, the song’s strong critical reception for its post-punk and alternative rock leanings, and high-profile momentum including a duet with The Cure’s Robert Smith and a dedicated Grammy Museum exhibition. The category’s other nominees—Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” Tame Impala’s “Dracula,” twenty one pilots’ “Drag Path,” Geese’s “Taxes,” Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide,” and MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face”—trail significantly, reflecting Rodrigo’s superior streaming numbers, fan voting power, and broader cultural visibility ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting closes September 25, creating the final swing factor in trader consensus.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
交易量
$145结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMAs Best Alternative category at 71.5% implied probability, driven by her blockbuster album *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, the song’s strong critical reception for its post-punk and alternative rock leanings, and high-profile momentum including a duet with The Cure’s Robert Smith and a dedicated Grammy Museum exhibition. The category’s other nominees—Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” Tame Impala’s “Dracula,” twenty one pilots’ “Drag Path,” Geese’s “Taxes,” Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide,” and MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face”—trail significantly, reflecting Rodrigo’s superior streaming numbers, fan voting power, and broader cultural visibility ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting closes September 25, creating the final swing factor in trader consensus.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$145结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETOlivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMAs Best Alternative category at 71.5% implied probability, driven by her blockbuster album *You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love*, the song’s strong critical reception for its post-punk and alternative rock leanings, and high-profile momentum including a duet with The Cure’s Robert Smith and a dedicated Grammy Museum exhibition. The category’s other nominees—Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” Tame Impala’s “Dracula,” twenty one pilots’ “Drag Path,” Geese’s “Taxes,” Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide,” and MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face”—trail significantly, reflecting Rodrigo’s superior streaming numbers, fan voting power, and broader cultural visibility ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Fan voting closes September 25, creating the final swing factor in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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