BTS’s “Swim” leads VMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability, driven by the track’s sustained global streaming dominance, including strong Billboard Global 200 and Songs of the Summer placements, plus BTS’s historically potent ARMY fan-voting bloc ahead of the September 27 ceremony. The seven-nominee field features Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love” at 11%, reflecting the duo’s overall nomination lead but softer fan mobilization in this category, while Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” sits at 24% on country momentum. Lower-priced entries such as Huntrix’s “Golden,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!” trail at 4% amid limited recent chart traction. Fan voting closes September 25, keeping late momentum shifts possible.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年VMA年度歌曲
Swim(BTS) 62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 24%
Bring Your Love(Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter) 11%
Golden(Huntrix) 4%
Swim(BTS)
62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)
24%
Bring Your Love(Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter)
11%
Golden(Huntrix)
4%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean)
4%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)
4%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye)
4%
Swim(BTS) 62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 24%
Bring Your Love(Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter) 11%
Golden(Huntrix) 4%
Swim(BTS)
62%
Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)
24%
Bring Your Love(Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter)
11%
Golden(Huntrix)
4%
Man I Need(Olivia Dean)
4%
Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)
4%
Where Is My Husband!(Raye)
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
BTS’s “Swim” leads VMA Song of the Year trader sentiment at 61.5% implied probability, driven by the track’s sustained global streaming dominance, including strong Billboard Global 200 and Songs of the Summer placements, plus BTS’s historically potent ARMY fan-voting bloc ahead of the September 27 ceremony. The seven-nominee field features Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love” at 11%, reflecting the duo’s overall nomination lead but softer fan mobilization in this category, while Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” sits at 24% on country momentum. Lower-priced entries such as Huntrix’s “Golden,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!” trail at 4% amid limited recent chart traction. Fan voting closes September 25, keeping late momentum shifts possible.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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