Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年奥斯卡：最佳男主角
2027年奥斯卡：最佳男主角
约翰·马尔科维奇 31.7%
马特·达蒙 26%
安德鲁·斯科特 18%
汤姆·克鲁斯 14%
$117,478 交易量
$117,478 交易量
2027-03-14
约翰·马尔科维奇
32%
马特·达蒙
26%
安德鲁·斯科特
18%
汤姆·克鲁斯
14%
罗伯特·帕丁森
9%
杰瑞米·斯特朗
3%
塞巴斯蒂安·斯坦
2%
瑞恩·高斯林
2%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
贾法尔·杰克逊
1%
萨姆·洛克威尔
1%
佩德罗·帕斯卡
1%
哈维尔·巴登
<1%
亚当·德赖弗
<1%
布拉德·皮特
<1%
罗伯特·阿拉马约
<1%
约翰·特托罗
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
<1%
约翰·马尔科维奇 31.7%
马特·达蒙 26%
安德鲁·斯科特 18%
汤姆·克鲁斯 14%
$117,478 交易量
$117,478 交易量
2027-03-14
约翰·马尔科维奇
$8,855 交易量
32%
马特·达蒙
$34,097 交易量
26%
安德鲁·斯科特
$12,225 交易量
18%
汤姆·克鲁斯
$11,178 交易量
14%
罗伯特·帕丁森
$4,364 交易量
9%
杰瑞米·斯特朗
$4,039 交易量
3%
塞巴斯蒂安·斯坦
$2,765 交易量
2%
瑞恩·高斯林
$4,778 交易量
2%
提莫西·查拉梅
$3,693 交易量
1%
贾法尔·杰克逊
$4,211 交易量
1%
萨姆·洛克威尔
$4,572 交易量
1%
佩德罗·帕斯卡
$3,076 交易量
1%
哈维尔·巴登
$2,900 交易量
<1%
亚当·德赖弗
$2,373 交易量
<1%
布拉德·皮特
$8,112 交易量
<1%
罗伯特·阿拉马约
$3,115 交易量
<1%
约翰·特托罗
$1,587 交易量
<1%
乔什·奥康纳
$1,537 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
交易量
$117,478结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$117,478结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETEarly in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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