The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s record nine nominations in its final season after CBS cancellation, combined with recent Creative Arts wins for writing and short-form variety, have solidified trader consensus around its 73.5% implied probability. As an area award under the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, voters assess each nominee independently against a 90% merit threshold, allowing multiple winners but favoring the show with the strongest legacy narrative and technical momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail with far lower odds, lacking comparable farewell sentiment or nomination volume despite their consistent eligibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 74%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 7.0%
《每日秀》 5.5%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.9%
$223,957 交易量
$223,957 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
74%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
7%
《每日秀》
6%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
5%
《周六夜现场》
3%
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 74%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 7.0%
《每日秀》 5.5%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 4.9%
$223,957 交易量
$223,957 交易量
2026-09-14
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
$65,399 交易量
74%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
$40,207 交易量
7%
《每日秀》
$32,700 交易量
6%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
$49,942 交易量
5%
《周六夜现场》
$35,709 交易量
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s record nine nominations in its final season after CBS cancellation, combined with recent Creative Arts wins for writing and short-form variety, have solidified trader consensus around its 73.5% implied probability. As an area award under the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, voters assess each nominee independently against a 90% merit threshold, allowing multiple winners but favoring the show with the strongest legacy narrative and technical momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail with far lower odds, lacking comparable farewell sentiment or nomination volume despite their consistent eligibility.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$223,957结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s record nine nominations in its final season after CBS cancellation, combined with recent Creative Arts wins for writing and short-form variety, have solidified trader consensus around its 73.5% implied probability. As an area award under the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, voters assess each nominee independently against a 90% merit threshold, allowing multiple winners but favoring the show with the strongest legacy narrative and technical momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail with far lower odds, lacking comparable farewell sentiment or nomination volume despite their consistent eligibility.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$223,957结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETThe Late Show with Stephen Colbert’s record nine nominations in its final season after CBS cancellation, combined with recent Creative Arts wins for writing and short-form variety, have solidified trader consensus around its 73.5% implied probability. As an area award under the merged Outstanding Variety Series category, voters assess each nominee independently against a 90% merit threshold, allowing multiple winners but favoring the show with the strongest legacy narrative and technical momentum heading into the September 14 ceremony. Last Week Tonight with John Oliver, Jimmy Kimmel Live!, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail with far lower odds, lacking comparable farewell sentiment or nomination volume despite their consistent eligibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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