The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
艾美奖2026 ：杰出品种系列
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 100.0%
《每日秀》 <1%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 <1%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 <1%
$409,895 交易量
$409,895 交易量
2026-09-14
《每日秀》
否
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
否
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
否
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
是
《周六夜现场》
否
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》 100.0%
《每日秀》 <1%
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》 <1%
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》 <1%
$409,895 交易量
$409,895 交易量
2026-09-14
《每日秀》
$42,012 交易量
否
《吉米·坎摩尔秀》
$155,029 交易量
否
《上周今夜约翰·奥利弗》
$56,947 交易量
否
《深夜秀与斯蒂芬·科尔伯特》
$97,585 交易量
是
《周六夜现场》
$58,323 交易量
否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
交易量
$409,895结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$409,895结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s dominant 87% implied probability stems from its May 2026 cancellation by CBS, which generated significant industry sympathy and positioned its final season as a farewell campaign. Multiple wins at the Creative Arts Emmys for writing, directing, and technical categories further boosted its momentum in the newly unified Outstanding Variety Series category, now structured as an area award where nominees are judged independently. Traders view this as outweighing the historical Emmy success of competitors like Last Week Tonight With John Oliver and The Daily Show, with the September 14 ceremony serving as the decisive resolution point.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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