The 2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar race remains wide open in its earliest phase, with traders assigning closely matched implied probabilities across dozens of contenders because 2026 releases have only begun generating buzz. No single performance has yet secured meaningful precursor momentum or guild-level support, leaving outcomes dependent on critical reception at fall festivals, box-office trajectories, and eventual awards-season narratives. Established names like Adam Scott and Robert Pattinson sit alongside emerging options such as Charles Melton and Himesh Patel, reflecting uncertainty over which films will dominate voter sentiment. Key swing factors include upcoming guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and the DGA, plus late-year releases that could shift consensus before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 54%
Channing Tatum 40.8%
James Ortiz 39.4%
Adam Scott 39.3%

Paul Giamatti
54%

Channing Tatum
41%

James Ortiz
39%

Adam Scott
39%

John Goodman
35%

Colman Domingo
34%

Robert De Niro
34%

Tom Holland
33%

Steve Buscemi
33%

Riz Ahmed
33%

Jesse Plemons
33%

Jeremy Strong
32%

Sam Rockwell
31%

Himesh Patel
31%

Robert Pattinson
30%

Travis Scott
30%

Daniel Craig
27%

Michael Fassbender
1%

Miles Teller
26%

Edward Norton
-

Charles Melton
31%
Paul Giamatti 54%
Channing Tatum 40.8%
James Ortiz 39.4%
Adam Scott 39.3%

Paul Giamatti
54%

Channing Tatum
41%

James Ortiz
39%

Adam Scott
39%

John Goodman
35%

Colman Domingo
34%

Robert De Niro
34%

Tom Holland
33%

Steve Buscemi
33%

Riz Ahmed
33%

Jesse Plemons
33%

Jeremy Strong
32%

Sam Rockwell
31%

Himesh Patel
31%

Robert Pattinson
30%

Travis Scott
30%

Daniel Craig
27%

Michael Fassbender
1%

Miles Teller
26%

Edward Norton
-

Charles Melton
31%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Best Supporting Actor Oscar race remains wide open in its earliest phase, with traders assigning closely matched implied probabilities across dozens of contenders because 2026 releases have only begun generating buzz. No single performance has yet secured meaningful precursor momentum or guild-level support, leaving outcomes dependent on critical reception at fall festivals, box-office trajectories, and eventual awards-season narratives. Established names like Adam Scott and Robert Pattinson sit alongside emerging options such as Charles Melton and Himesh Patel, reflecting uncertainty over which films will dominate voter sentiment. Key swing factors include upcoming guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and the DGA, plus late-year releases that could shift consensus before ballots close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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