Dune: Part Three holds the strongest trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category, reflecting the franchise’s prior wins, Denis Villeneuve’s established large-scale world-building, and its positioning as a December 2026 IMAX spectacle. Project Hail Mary follows at 26%, buoyed by its March 2026 release and reports of roughly 2,000 shots blending practical elements with digital work from directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Titles such as The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds amid early buzz around creature design and superhero sequences, while numerous other 2026 releases sit near 50% with limited liquidity. The race remains fluid until guild shortlists and branch screenings clarify momentum closer to nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳视觉效果奖得主
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳视觉效果奖得主
沙丘：第三部 55%
拯救天堂计划 26%
奥德赛 11%
哥斯拉-1.0 10.1%
$19,725 交易量
$19,725 交易量
2027-06-30
沙丘：第三部
55%
拯救天堂计划
26%
奥德赛
11%
哥斯拉-1.0
10%
蜘蛛侠：全新纪元
4%
复仇者联盟：末日
3%
沙丘：第三部 55%
拯救天堂计划 26%
奥德赛 11%
哥斯拉-1.0 10.1%
$19,725 交易量
$19,725 交易量
2027-06-30
沙丘：第三部
$16,430 交易量
55%
拯救天堂计划
$1,630 交易量
26%
奥德赛
$470 交易量
11%
哥斯拉-1.0
$490 交易量
10%
蜘蛛侠：全新纪元
$282 交易量
4%
复仇者联盟：末日
$423 交易量
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the strongest trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category, reflecting the franchise’s prior wins, Denis Villeneuve’s established large-scale world-building, and its positioning as a December 2026 IMAX spectacle. Project Hail Mary follows at 26%, buoyed by its March 2026 release and reports of roughly 2,000 shots blending practical elements with digital work from directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Titles such as The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds amid early buzz around creature design and superhero sequences, while numerous other 2026 releases sit near 50% with limited liquidity. The race remains fluid until guild shortlists and branch screenings clarify momentum closer to nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$19,725结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Dune: Part Three holds the strongest trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category, reflecting the franchise’s prior wins, Denis Villeneuve’s established large-scale world-building, and its positioning as a December 2026 IMAX spectacle. Project Hail Mary follows at 26%, buoyed by its March 2026 release and reports of roughly 2,000 shots blending practical elements with digital work from directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Titles such as The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds amid early buzz around creature design and superhero sequences, while numerous other 2026 releases sit near 50% with limited liquidity. The race remains fluid until guild shortlists and branch screenings clarify momentum closer to nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,725结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ETDune: Part Three holds the strongest trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category, reflecting the franchise’s prior wins, Denis Villeneuve’s established large-scale world-building, and its positioning as a December 2026 IMAX spectacle. Project Hail Mary follows at 26%, buoyed by its March 2026 release and reports of roughly 2,000 shots blending practical elements with digital work from directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Titles such as The Odyssey, Godzilla Minus Zero, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Avengers: Doomsday trail at single-digit odds amid early buzz around creature design and superhero sequences, while numerous other 2026 releases sit near 50% with limited liquidity. The race remains fluid until guild shortlists and branch screenings clarify momentum closer to nominations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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