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icon for 奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名

奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名

icon for 奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名

奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名

最新
2027-01-21
Polymarket

$856 交易量

Polymarket

John Malkovich

$31 交易量

67%

Tom Cruise

$414 交易量

76%

Ryan Gosling

$127 交易量

72%

Javier Bardem

$40 交易量

49%

Pedro Pascal

$0 交易量

48%

Adam Driver

$0 交易量

47%

John Turturro

$0 交易量

46%

Sam Rockwell

$0 交易量

45%

Sebastian Stan

$0 交易量

44%

Josh O'Connor

$0 交易量

42%

Jeremy Strong

$0 交易量

42%

Andrew Scott

$0 交易量

39%

Robert Aramayo

$0 交易量

39%

Jaafar Jackson

$12 交易量

20%

Brad Pitt

$21 交易量

28%

Matt Damon

$86 交易量

61%

Timothée Chalamet

$124 交易量

50%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile 2026 releases featuring veteran stars and auteur directors. Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ Digger and John Malkovich in Searchlight’s Wild Horse Nine top most June 2026 prediction lists, followed by Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s Project Hail Mary, Sebastian Stan in NEON’s Fjord, and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. These placements reflect trader focus on proven box-office draws, awards-friendly narratives, and studio campaign machinery rather than completed films. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, guild screenings, and precursor season launches, which historically shift momentum once critics and voters see the performances. The race remains fluid given the long timeline and limited released footage.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$856
结束日期
2027-01-21
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early Oscar buzz for 2027 Best Actor nominations centers on high-profile 2026 releases featuring veteran stars and auteur directors. Tom Cruise in Warner Bros.’ Digger and John Malkovich in Searchlight’s Wild Horse Nine top most June 2026 prediction lists, followed by Ryan Gosling in Amazon MGM’s Project Hail Mary, Sebastian Stan in NEON’s Fjord, and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey. These placements reflect trader focus on proven box-office draws, awards-friendly narratives, and studio campaign machinery rather than completed films. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, guild screenings, and precursor season launches, which historically shift momentum once critics and voters see the performances. The race remains fluid given the long timeline and limited released footage.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$856
结束日期
2027-01-21
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Tom Cruise",概率为 77%,其次是"Ryan Gosling",概率为 72%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 77¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 77%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名"的当前领先者是"Tom Cruise",概率为 77%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 77%。紧随其后的结果是"Ryan Gosling",概率为 72%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳男主角提名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。