**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年VMA最佳新人
2026年VMA最佳新人
Sienna Spiro 53%
Magnus Ferrell 14%
Stella Lefty 14%
贝拉·凯 12.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
53%
Magnus Ferrell
14%
Stella Lefty
14%
贝拉·凯
12%
马尔科姆·托德
8%
Myles Smith
8%
Cortis
58%
Sienna Spiro 53%
Magnus Ferrell 14%
Stella Lefty 14%
贝拉·凯 12.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
$20 交易量
53%
Magnus Ferrell
$0 交易量
14%
Stella Lefty
$0 交易量
14%
贝拉·凯
$1 交易量
12%
马尔科姆·托德
$1 交易量
8%
Myles Smith
$0 交易量
8%
Cortis
$20 交易量
58%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$42结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$42结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET**Cortis holds a narrow lead in the VMA Best New Artist market at 58% implied probability, just ahead of Sienna Spiro at 52.5%, with the rest of the field clustered near even odds.** The K-pop rookie’s edge stems from explosive global streaming, a sold-out debut tour, multiple chart runs including Spotify’s Weekly Top Albums, and a massive fandom that boosts fan-voted categories—Cortis is also nominated for Best Group and Best K-Pop. Spiro counters with stronger mainstream traction: her debut album *Visitor* reached No. 9 on the Billboard 200, her single “Die on This Hill” hit the Hot 100 top 20, and she earned early Grammy buzz plus a high-profile VMA performance slot. With fan voting closing September 25 and the ceremony set for September 27, late momentum from live performances and social engagement could still shift the tight race among the seven nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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