Trader consensus pins a 55.5% implied probability on a No. 1 seed claiming the NCAA Tournament national championship, reflecting top seeds' historical edge with easier paths, superior talent, and 24 total titles since the field expanded. Surging odds for No. 7 (41.5%) and No. 5 (40.0%) seeds stem from breakout runs by teams like Texas A&M and Iowa State in early rounds, showcasing defensive prowess and timely upsets amid top-heavy bracket vulnerabilities. Recent Elite Eight developments, including NC State's Cinderella 11-seed surge (23.0%) and Alabama's 4-seed momentum (25.0%), have elevated mid-major seeds, while No. 1 UConn and Purdue dominate trader sentiment through undefeated streaks and rest advantages. Upsets remain likely given March Madness volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1 75%
7 34%
5 32%
2 28%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
1
55%
2
28%
3
28%
4
25%
5
32%
6
24%
7
34%
9
6%
10
<1%
11
23%
12
<1%
1 75%
7 34%
5 32%
2 28%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
1
$0 交易量
55%
2
$0 交易量
28%
3
$0 交易量
28%
4
$0 交易量
25%
5
$0 交易量
32%
6
$0 交易量
24%
7
$0 交易量
34%
9
$0 交易量
6%
10
$1,060 交易量
<1%
11
$0 交易量
23%
12
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
交易量
$1,195结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,195结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins a 55.5% implied probability on a No. 1 seed claiming the NCAA Tournament national championship, reflecting top seeds' historical edge with easier paths, superior talent, and 24 total titles since the field expanded. Surging odds for No. 7 (41.5%) and No. 5 (40.0%) seeds stem from breakout runs by teams like Texas A&M and Iowa State in early rounds, showcasing defensive prowess and timely upsets amid top-heavy bracket vulnerabilities. Recent Elite Eight developments, including NC State's Cinderella 11-seed surge (23.0%) and Alabama's 4-seed momentum (25.0%), have elevated mid-major seeds, while No. 1 UConn and Purdue dominate trader sentiment through undefeated streaks and rest advantages. Upsets remain likely given March Madness volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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