A massive winter storm slamming the Northeast and Midwest has fueled near-unanimous trader confidence in over 240 US flight cancellations on March 24, with official FAA data already logging over 1,100 disruptions by midday amid blizzard warnings and 50 mph gusts grounding major carriers like Delta and United. Historical precedents, such as the 2023 Atlanta ice storm's 1,300+ cancellations, underscore how such events cascade through hub airports, inflating implied probabilities to 98.9% yes. Realistic upsets remain slim—perhaps an abrupt weather pivot or heroic de-icing efforts—but secret ballot-like unpredictability in real-time ops leaves a narrow 1.1% no window for contrarians eyeing outsized payouts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Over 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
Over 240 US flights cancelled on March 24?
$927 交易量
$927 交易量
$927 交易量
$927 交易量
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A massive winter storm slamming the Northeast and Midwest has fueled near-unanimous trader confidence in over 240 US flight cancellations on March 24, with official FAA data already logging over 1,100 disruptions by midday amid blizzard warnings and 50 mph gusts grounding major carriers like Delta and United. Historical precedents, such as the 2023 Atlanta ice storm's 1,300+ cancellations, underscore how such events cascade through hub airports, inflating implied probabilities to 98.9% yes. Realistic upsets remain slim—perhaps an abrupt weather pivot or heroic de-icing efforts—but secret ballot-like unpredictability in real-time ops leaves a narrow 1.1% no window for contrarians eyeing outsized payouts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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