With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—April's total remains on a below-average pace midway through the month, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 130-150mm outcomes at 30%, 29%, and 25% implied probabilities. A dry spell over the past week has suppressed higher brackets, while the Observatory's seasonal forecast for normal to above-normal precipitation in April-June signals potential for showers or thunderstorms in the remaining two weeks to elevate totals. Separation could arise from prolonged easterly winds maintaining dryness versus troughs or early tropical activity delivering heavy rain bursts, as historical April averages hover near 145mm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月香港降水量？
4月香港降水量？
130-140毫米 32%
<130毫米 30%
140-150毫米 28%
190毫米以上 9%
$28,856 交易量
$28,856 交易量
2026-04-30
<130毫米
30%
130-140毫米
32%
140-150毫米
27%
150-160毫米
7%
160-170毫米
4%
190-200毫米
2%
180-190
8%
190毫米以上
9%
130-140毫米 32%
<130毫米 30%
140-150毫米 28%
190毫米以上 9%
$28,856 交易量
$28,856 交易量
2026-04-30
<130毫米
$13,278 交易量
30%
130-140毫米
$5,213 交易量
32%
140-150毫米
$5,704 交易量
27%
150-160毫米
$3,247 交易量
7%
160-170毫米
$267 交易量
4%
190-200毫米
$208 交易量
2%
180-190
$265 交易量
8%
190毫米以上
$674 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—April's total remains on a below-average pace midway through the month, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 130-150mm outcomes at 30%, 29%, and 25% implied probabilities. A dry spell over the past week has suppressed higher brackets, while the Observatory's seasonal forecast for normal to above-normal precipitation in April-June signals potential for showers or thunderstorms in the remaining two weeks to elevate totals. Separation could arise from prolonged easterly winds maintaining dryness versus troughs or early tropical activity delivering heavy rain bursts, as historical April averages hover near 145mm.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
交易量
$28,856结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—April's total remains on a below-average pace midway through the month, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 130-150mm outcomes at 30%, 29%, and 25% implied probabilities. A dry spell over the past week has suppressed higher brackets, while the Observatory's seasonal forecast for normal to above-normal precipitation in April-June signals potential for showers or thunderstorms in the remaining two weeks to elevate totals. Separation could arise from prolonged easterly winds maintaining dryness versus troughs or early tropical activity delivering heavy rain bursts, as historical April averages hover near 145mm.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,856结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With just 60mm of rainfall recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—April's total remains on a below-average pace midway through the month, keeping trader consensus tightly clustered around 130-150mm outcomes at 30%, 29%, and 25% implied probabilities. A dry spell over the past week has suppressed higher brackets, while the Observatory's seasonal forecast for normal to above-normal precipitation in April-June signals potential for showers or thunderstorms in the remaining two weeks to elevate totals. Separation could arise from prolonged easterly winds maintaining dryness versus troughs or early tropical activity delivering heavy rain bursts, as historical April averages hover near 145mm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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