Through April 14, the Hong Kong Observatory recorded only 60mm of cumulative rainfall—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—putting the month well below the historical April average of about 160mm and prompting traders to favor totals under 130mm at 31.5%. The race stays tight among low-range brackets like 130-140mm (21%) and 140-150mm (22%) due to 16 days remaining in the rainy season's early phase, where seasonal forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation amid potential showers or thunderstorms. Separation could arise from sustained dry conditions through late April or heavy rain events from passing troughs, shifting the final Hong Kong Observatory total decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月香港降水量?
4月香港降水量?
<130毫米 32%
130-140毫米 23%
150-160毫米 19%
140-150毫米 16%
$28,649 交易量
$28,649 交易量
<130毫米
32%
130-140毫米
23%
140-150毫米
21%
150-160毫米
15%
160-170毫米
4%
190-200毫米
2%
180-190
3%
190毫米以上
12%
<130毫米 32%
130-140毫米 23%
150-160毫米 19%
140-150毫米 16%
$28,649 交易量
$28,649 交易量
<130毫米
32%
130-140毫米
23%
140-150毫米
21%
150-160毫米
15%
160-170毫米
4%
190-200毫米
2%
180-190
3%
190毫米以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Through April 14, the Hong Kong Observatory recorded only 60mm of cumulative rainfall—mostly from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—putting the month well below the historical April average of about 160mm and prompting traders to favor totals under 130mm at 31.5%. The race stays tight among low-range brackets like 130-140mm (21%) and 140-150mm (22%) due to 16 days remaining in the rainy season's early phase, where seasonal forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation amid potential showers or thunderstorms. Separation could arise from sustained dry conditions through late April or heavy rain events from passing troughs, shifting the final Hong Kong Observatory total decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题