Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low accumulated precipitation in Seoul through mid-April—around 10-20mm per observational reports and trader-cited figures—positioning the under-40mm outcome at a 45.5% market-implied probability, far below the 65-80mm April climatological normal. This dry spell, marked by early-month light showers (5-20mm around April 4-5) followed by persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny conditions over the past week, has suppressed moisture inflow amid neutral ENSO influences. KMA medium-range forecasts show limited rain probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though uncertainty lingers from potential frontal systems or model divergences; daily updates could shift odds as the resolution nears month's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月首尔降水量？
4月首尔降水量？
少于40毫米 59%
65-70毫米 14%
50-55毫米 10%
75毫米及以上 10%
$16,604 交易量
$16,604 交易量
2026-04-30
少于40毫米
47%
40-45毫米
12%
45-50毫米
8%
50-55毫米
10%
55-60毫米
8%
60-65毫米
5%
65-70毫米
14%
70-75毫米
2%
75毫米及以上
10%
少于40毫米 59%
65-70毫米 14%
50-55毫米 10%
75毫米及以上 10%
$16,604 交易量
$16,604 交易量
2026-04-30
少于40毫米
$10,580 交易量
47%
40-45毫米
$250 交易量
12%
45-50毫米
$255 交易量
8%
50-55毫米
$1,694 交易量
10%
55-60毫米
$2,352 交易量
8%
60-65毫米
$182 交易量
5%
65-70毫米
$393 交易量
14%
70-75毫米
$211 交易量
2%
75毫米及以上
$688 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low accumulated precipitation in Seoul through mid-April—around 10-20mm per observational reports and trader-cited figures—positioning the under-40mm outcome at a 45.5% market-implied probability, far below the 65-80mm April climatological normal. This dry spell, marked by early-month light showers (5-20mm around April 4-5) followed by persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny conditions over the past week, has suppressed moisture inflow amid neutral ENSO influences. KMA medium-range forecasts show limited rain probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though uncertainty lingers from potential frontal systems or model divergences; daily updates could shift odds as the resolution nears month's end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
交易量
$16,604结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low accumulated precipitation in Seoul through mid-April—around 10-20mm per observational reports and trader-cited figures—positioning the under-40mm outcome at a 45.5% market-implied probability, far below the 65-80mm April climatological normal. This dry spell, marked by early-month light showers (5-20mm around April 4-5) followed by persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny conditions over the past week, has suppressed moisture inflow amid neutral ENSO influences. KMA medium-range forecasts show limited rain probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though uncertainty lingers from potential frontal systems or model divergences; daily updates could shift odds as the resolution nears month's end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,604结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low accumulated precipitation in Seoul through mid-April—around 10-20mm per observational reports and trader-cited figures—positioning the under-40mm outcome at a 45.5% market-implied probability, far below the 65-80mm April climatological normal. This dry spell, marked by early-month light showers (5-20mm around April 4-5) followed by persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny conditions over the past week, has suppressed moisture inflow amid neutral ENSO influences. KMA medium-range forecasts show limited rain probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though uncertainty lingers from potential frontal systems or model divergences; daily updates could shift odds as the resolution nears month's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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