Market icon
选举·全球选举

Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

Market icon
选举·全球选举

Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

5% chance
Polymarket
NEW
5% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).

Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor:

- Paris: Rachida Dati
- Marseille: Franck Allisio
- Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas

If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
交易量
$206
结束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).

Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor:

- Paris: Rachida Dati
- Marseille: Franck Allisio
- Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas

If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).
交易量
$206
结束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场，交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 5%（"Yes"）。例如，如果"是"的价格为 5¢，则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 5%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 13, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?"上交易，只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是"，每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否"，你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?"的当前概率为 5%（"Yes"）。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 5%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新，持续提供市场预期信号。

"Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。