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经济·南非

南非储备银行5月份的决定？

Market icon
经济·南非

南非储备银行5月份的决定？

5月 28

5月 28

不变 70%

上调 23.3%

下调 6.5%

Polymarket
最新

不变 70%

上调 23.3%

下调 6.5%

Polymarket
最新

下调

$1,311 交易量

7%

不变

$2,441 交易量

70%

上调

$2,190 交易量

23%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for the South African Reserve Bank to hold its repo rate steady at 6.75% in the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee decision, reflecting the March 26 hold amid headline inflation easing to 3.0% in February 2026—the lowest since mid-2025—and within the 3-6% target band. Upside inflation risks from surging oil prices above $110 per barrel, rand depreciation to three-month lows, and geopolitical tensions have elevated hike odds to 27%, postponing anticipated cuts as per SARB's revised 2026 inflation forecast of 3.3%. Rate cut expectations at 6% remain marginal, given the hawkish policy stance prioritizing currency stability. Watch April CPI data for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$5,942
结束日期
2026-05-28
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 70% implied probability for the South African Reserve Bank to hold its repo rate steady at 6.75% in the May 28 Monetary Policy Committee decision, reflecting the March 26 hold amid headline inflation easing to 3.0% in February 2026—the lowest since mid-2025—and within the 3-6% target band. Upside inflation risks from surging oil prices above $110 per barrel, rand depreciation to three-month lows, and geopolitical tensions have elevated hike odds to 27%, postponing anticipated cuts as per SARB's revised 2026 inflation forecast of 3.3%. Rate cut expectations at 6% remain marginal, given the hawkish policy stance prioritizing currency stability. Watch April CPI data for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$5,942
结束日期
2026-05-28
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"南非储备银行5月份的决定？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"不变"，概率为 70%，其次是"上调"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 70¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 70%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"南非储备银行5月份的决定？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jan 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"南非储备银行5月份的决定？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"南非储备银行5月份的决定？"的当前领先者是"不变"，概率为 70%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 70%。紧随其后的结果是"上调"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"南非储备银行5月份的决定？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。