Trader consensus gives a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one at the 2026 Masters, reflecting the competitive balance between Augusta's par-3 challenges—holes 6, 12, and 16—and a stacked 91-player field featuring top PGA Tour talent. No aces in the previous three tournaments (2023-2025) have tempered expectations despite 34 historical holes-in-one, the last by Stewart Cink on the 16th in 2022. Favorable pre-tournament weather—partly cloudy skies, breezy early rounds transitioning to sunny and warmer conditions with low rain risk—supports ace potential by aiding precise iron play. Gusty winds or unexpected course pin placements could bolster No shares, while calm afternoons or strong practice-round par-3 showings might lift Yes odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-04-13
是
最新
最新
2026-04-13
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Trader consensus gives a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one at the 2026 Masters, reflecting the competitive balance between Augusta's par-3 challenges—holes 6, 12, and 16—and a stacked 91-player field featuring top PGA Tour talent. No aces in the previous three tournaments (2023-2025) have tempered expectations despite 34 historical holes-in-one, the last by Stewart Cink on the 16th in 2022. Favorable pre-tournament weather—partly cloudy skies, breezy early rounds transitioning to sunny and warmer conditions with low rain risk—supports ace potential by aiding precise iron play. Gusty winds or unexpected course pin placements could bolster No shares, while calm afternoons or strong practice-round par-3 showings might lift Yes odds further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
交易量
$5,133结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Trader consensus gives a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one at the 2026 Masters, reflecting the competitive balance between Augusta's par-3 challenges—holes 6, 12, and 16—and a stacked 91-player field featuring top PGA Tour talent. No aces in the previous three tournaments (2023-2025) have tempered expectations despite 34 historical holes-in-one, the last by Stewart Cink on the 16th in 2022. Favorable pre-tournament weather—partly cloudy skies, breezy early rounds transitioning to sunny and warmer conditions with low rain risk—supports ace potential by aiding precise iron play. Gusty winds or unexpected course pin placements could bolster No shares, while calm afternoons or strong practice-round par-3 showings might lift Yes odds further.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.
If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.
If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
交易量
$5,133结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives a 54.5% implied probability for at least one hole-in-one at the 2026 Masters, reflecting the competitive balance between Augusta's par-3 challenges—holes 6, 12, and 16—and a stacked 91-player field featuring top PGA Tour talent. No aces in the previous three tournaments (2023-2025) have tempered expectations despite 34 historical holes-in-one, the last by Stewart Cink on the 16th in 2022. Favorable pre-tournament weather—partly cloudy skies, breezy early rounds transitioning to sunny and warmer conditions with low rain risk—supports ace potential by aiding precise iron play. Gusty winds or unexpected course pin placements could bolster No shares, while calm afternoons or strong practice-round par-3 showings might lift Yes odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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