Market icon

特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?

Market icon

特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?

Mar 14

Mar 14

上升

5% chance
Polymarket

$11,858 交易量

上升

5% chance
Polymarket

$11,858 交易量

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$11,858
结束日期
Mar 14, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$11,858
结束日期
Mar 14, 2026
市场开放时间
Mar 6, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 13, 2026, than on March 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on March 6, 2026, than on March 13, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?"是 Polymarket 上的一个每日预测市场,交易者买卖份额来预测 Bitcoin 的价格是否会在标题指定的每日窗口期内收高("Up")或收低("Down")于开盘价。当前市场概率为 95%("下降")。价格 95% 意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。价格随着交易者对 Bitcoin 实时价格变动的反应而实时更新。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?"已产生 $11.9K 的总交易量。Bitcoin Up 或 Down 市场吸引活跃的交易者实时应对价格变动——这一活跃度确保了当前 Up/Down 赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以在本页追踪实时价格并直接交易。

要在"特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?"上交易,判断你认为 Bitcoin 在 March 13 东部时间中午的价格是高于("Up")还是低于("Down")March 6 东部时间中午的价格。如果你认为价格会上涨,买入"Up";如果你认为会下跌,买入"Down"。输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你的结果正确,每份支付 $1.00。如果不正确,份额价值 $0。

"特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?"的当前概率为 95%("下降"),意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为 Bitcoin 在此每日窗口期内价格收下降的概率为 95%。这些赔率随着交易者对 Bitcoin 实时价格数据的反应而实时更新。在一整天内,赔率反映着随着当天价格走势展开而不断演变的市场情绪。 经常回来查看或立即交易。

"特朗普本周批准向上还是向下?"市场基于 March 13 东部时间中午与 March 6 东部时间中午的 Bitcoin 价格比较来结算,使用 Binance BTC/USDT 1分钟蜡烛收盘价。如果 March 13 中午价格较高,结果为"Up";如果较低,为"Down";如果相等,市场以 50-50 结算。你可以在"规则"部分查看完整标准。