Polymarket traders have priced a 50% implied probability for WD-40 (WDFC) to beat quarterly earnings estimates, reflecting closely balanced sentiment ahead of the October 17 release for fiscal Q4 2024. This equilibrium arises from robust 8% year-over-year Americas sales growth in Q3—driven by maintenance product demand—offsetting EMEA declines amid regional economic pressures, with consensus analyst forecasts at $1.32 EPS and $152.5 million revenue closely tracking company guidance. Steady share price near $240 and moderate trading volume underscore trader caution without fresh catalysts. A beat on gross margins or optimistic FY2025 outlook could decisively shift odds, while misses on international trends might favor "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
是
If WD-40 releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市场开放时间: Mar 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If WD-40 releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders have priced a 50% implied probability for WD-40 (WDFC) to beat quarterly earnings estimates, reflecting closely balanced sentiment ahead of the October 17 release for fiscal Q4 2024. This equilibrium arises from robust 8% year-over-year Americas sales growth in Q3—driven by maintenance product demand—offsetting EMEA declines amid regional economic pressures, with consensus analyst forecasts at $1.32 EPS and $152.5 million revenue closely tracking company guidance. Steady share price near $240 and moderate trading volume underscore trader caution without fresh catalysts. A beat on gross margins or optimistic FY2025 outlook could decisively shift odds, while misses on international trends might favor "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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