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伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?

Market icon

伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?

$180,658 交易量

Polymarket

$180,658 交易量

Polymarket

迪莫纳(希蒙·佩雷斯内盖夫核研究中心)

$77,436 交易量

11%

鲁韦斯炼油厂

$24,855 交易量

67%

盖瓦尔油田

$11,852 交易量

26%

萨法尼亚油田

$19,331 交易量

29%

阿布盖格油气处理设施

$12,267 交易量

35%

米纳艾哈迈迪炼油厂

$16,775 交易量

37%

祖尔炼油厂

$18,141 交易量

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
交易量
$180,658
市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open spaces or around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"鲁韦斯炼油厂",概率为 67%,其次是"米纳艾哈迈迪炼油厂",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 67¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?"已产生 $180.7K 的总交易量(自Mar 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?"的当前领先者是"鲁韦斯炼油厂",概率为 67%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 67%。紧随其后的结果是"米纳艾哈迈迪炼油厂",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"伊朗将在3月31日前发动什么罢工?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。