Trader consensus on the Traverse City, Michigan bald eagle nest livestream favors April 8 (26.5% implied probability) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet hatch from Harry and Harriet's three-egg clutch, reflecting the first egg's 35-day incubation timeline from its March 2 lay date, placing it squarely in day 32 as of April 3 with no visible pips yet. The tight contest among April 7-10 outcomes stems from natural variability in hatch windows (typically 35-40 days), cooler northern Michigan weather potentially delaying progress, and steady parental brooding amid recent nest defense against intruders. Live cam viewers anticipate breakthrough pips any hour, with the market hinging on real-time footage confirmation before April 17 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于When will the first eaglet hatch?
When will the first eaglet hatch?
April 8 27%
April 9 25%
April 7 19%
April 10 11%
最新
$40,837 交易量
最新
$40,837 交易量
2026-04-16
April 3
<1%
April 4
2%
April 5
3%
April 6
5%
April 7
19%
April 8
27%
April 9
25%
April 10
11%
April 11
6%
April 12
3%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
<1%
April 16
1%
No Hatch before April 17
5%
April 8 27%
April 9 25%
April 7 19%
April 10 11%
最新
$40,837 交易量
最新
$40,837 交易量
2026-04-16
April 3
$1,755 交易量
<1%
April 4
$4,808 交易量
2%
April 5
$3,933 交易量
3%
April 6
$2,608 交易量
5%
April 7
$3,949 交易量
19%
April 8
$1,426 交易量
27%
April 9
$2,598 交易量
25%
April 10
$2,307 交易量
11%
April 11
$2,782 交易量
6%
April 12
$1,882 交易量
3%
April 13
$2,577 交易量
1%
April 14
$1,266 交易量
1%
April 15
$944 交易量
<1%
April 16
$1,192 交易量
1%
No Hatch before April 17
$6,887 交易量
5%
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on the Traverse City, Michigan bald eagle nest livestream favors April 8 (26.5% implied probability) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet hatch from Harry and Harriet's three-egg clutch, reflecting the first egg's 35-day incubation timeline from its March 2 lay date, placing it squarely in day 32 as of April 3 with no visible pips yet. The tight contest among April 7-10 outcomes stems from natural variability in hatch windows (typically 35-40 days), cooler northern Michigan weather potentially delaying progress, and steady parental brooding amid recent nest defense against intruders. Live cam viewers anticipate breakthrough pips any hour, with the market hinging on real-time footage confirmation before April 17 resolution.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$40,837结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on the Traverse City, Michigan bald eagle nest livestream favors April 8 (26.5% implied probability) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet hatch from Harry and Harriet's three-egg clutch, reflecting the first egg's 35-day incubation timeline from its March 2 lay date, placing it squarely in day 32 as of April 3 with no visible pips yet. The tight contest among April 7-10 outcomes stems from natural variability in hatch windows (typically 35-40 days), cooler northern Michigan weather potentially delaying progress, and steady parental brooding amid recent nest defense against intruders. Live cam viewers anticipate breakthrough pips any hour, with the market hinging on real-time footage confirmation before April 17 resolution.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
交易量
$40,837结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Traverse City, Michigan bald eagle nest livestream favors April 8 (26.5% implied probability) and April 9 (24.5%) for the first eaglet hatch from Harry and Harriet's three-egg clutch, reflecting the first egg's 35-day incubation timeline from its March 2 lay date, placing it squarely in day 32 as of April 3 with no visible pips yet. The tight contest among April 7-10 outcomes stems from natural variability in hatch windows (typically 35-40 days), cooler northern Michigan weather potentially delaying progress, and steady parental brooding amid recent nest defense against intruders. Live cam viewers anticipate breakthrough pips any hour, with the market hinging on real-time footage confirmation before April 17 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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