Recent FIFA approvals for Iran's base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, along with positive federation meetings resolving visa and security concerns, have solidified trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Earlier geopolitical tensions, U.S. travel restrictions, and Middle East conflict had fueled speculation about a potential vacancy, yet confirmed arrangements and Iran's scheduled matches indicate the team will compete. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden escalation in regional hostilities or last-minute administrative barriers, though these remain low-probability factors given the advanced stage of preparations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No Replacement 96.8%
UAE 1.1%
Other 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 交易量
$59,283 交易量
2026-08-31
No Replacement
97%
UAE
1%
Other
1%
Italy
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.8%
UAE 1.1%
Other 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 交易量
$59,283 交易量
2026-08-31
No Replacement
$18,105 交易量
97%
UAE
$5,257 交易量
1%
Other
$4,982 交易量
1%
Italy
$28,168 交易量
1%
Bolivia
$2,771 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FIFA approvals for Iran's base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, along with positive federation meetings resolving visa and security concerns, have solidified trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Earlier geopolitical tensions, U.S. travel restrictions, and Middle East conflict had fueled speculation about a potential vacancy, yet confirmed arrangements and Iran's scheduled matches indicate the team will compete. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden escalation in regional hostilities or last-minute administrative barriers, though these remain low-probability factors given the advanced stage of preparations.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$59,283结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FIFA approvals for Iran's base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, along with positive federation meetings resolving visa and security concerns, have solidified trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Earlier geopolitical tensions, U.S. travel restrictions, and Middle East conflict had fueled speculation about a potential vacancy, yet confirmed arrangements and Iran's scheduled matches indicate the team will compete. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden escalation in regional hostilities or last-minute administrative barriers, though these remain low-probability factors given the advanced stage of preparations.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$59,283结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FIFA approvals for Iran's base camp relocation to Tijuana, Mexico, along with positive federation meetings resolving visa and security concerns, have solidified trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Earlier geopolitical tensions, U.S. travel restrictions, and Middle East conflict had fueled speculation about a potential vacancy, yet confirmed arrangements and Iran's scheduled matches indicate the team will compete. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include sudden escalation in regional hostilities or last-minute administrative barriers, though these remain low-probability factors given the advanced stage of preparations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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