$6,855,453 交易量
2026年6月30日
$1,388,927 交易量
1%
分组项标题：2026 年 12 月 31 日
$574,715 交易量
30%
$6,855,453 交易量
2026年6月30日
1%
分组项标题：2026 年 12 月 31 日
30%
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 2:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Base Network Confirms Token Launch with TBA Date
A comprehensive guide confirmed that Base has a confirmed token launch scheduled for 2026, with the exact date still unannounced. This official confirmation solidified the project's timeline and market expectations.
Base activates Azul upgrade, improving performance and reducing withdrawal times
December 31, 2026 drops to 33%6%
Base activated the Azul mainnet upgrade on May 28, 2026, enhancing security and scaling performance to 5,000 TPS and reducing withdrawal times. This technical progress supported Base's infrastructure but did not signal a token launch, contributing to continued price declines for token launch outcomes.
Base Activates Azul Upgrade on Mainnet to Reduce Withdrawal Times
June 30, 2026 dips to 1%1%
Base successfully launched its independent 'Base Azul' upgrade on mainnet, signaling technical progress but confirming that the next major upgrade with an enshrined token standard would not occur until the end of June 2026.
Base Activates Azul Mainnet Upgrade to Slash Withdrawal Times
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%2%
Base successfully activated its major Azul upgrade on mainnet, introducing multi-proofs and cutting withdrawal finality to 1 day. The upgrade focused purely on technical scaling and decentralization milestones rather than token distribution.
Base Launches Base MCP to Enable AI Agents to Execute On-Chain DeFi Transactions
December 31, 2026 drops to 33%6%
Base introduced the Model Context Protocol (MCP) to connect AI agents to crypto wallets. Although highly anticipated, the rollout did not include any native token announcement, leading to a drop in speculative launch probabilities.
Base launches AI integration tool Base MCP enabling AI agents to execute on-chain DeFi
December 31, 2026 drops to 33%6%
On May 26, 2026, Base launched Base MCP, an AI integration allowing AI agents like ChatGPT to interact with Base accounts for DeFi actions. This innovation highlighted Base's focus on ecosystem development but did not include any token launch, leading to further market skepticism about a near-term token issuance.
Base confirms mainnet launch date for Azul upgrade enhancing network autonomy
December 31, 2026 dips to 33%4%
Base confirmed May 13, 2026, as the mainnet launch date for the Azul upgrade, which increases Base's autonomy and flexibility by moving away from reliance on Optimism Superchain upgrades. This technical milestone supports Base's roadmap and potential token launch prospects by improving network infrastructure.
Circle raises $222 million in presale of native token for new blockchain
December 31, 2026 dips to 40%1%
Circle announced a $222 million presale for its new blockchain's native token, reflecting the broader trend of major crypto firms advancing token launches in 2026. While not directly about Base, this event underscored the competitive and regulatory environment influencing Base's token launch timeline and market sentiment.
Base, Coinbase, and Centrifuge Launch Tokenized S&P 500 Exposure via deRWA Framework
December 31, 2026 dips to 37%4%
Base expanded its real-world asset (RWA) ecosystem by launching a tokenized S&P 500 product. While showcasing Base's growing utility, the focus on institutional asset tokenization rather than a native network token kept launch expectations subdued.
Base Launches Tokenized S&P 500 Product with Coinbase and Centrifuge
December 31, 2026 dips to 37%2%
Base announced the launch of tokenized S&P 500 exposure on its blockchain, demonstrating its focus on real-world asset tokenization rather than launching its own native network token.
DTCC Announces October Launch for Tokenized Securities Platform
December 31, 2026 dips to 39%2%
Wall Street clearinghouse DTCC announced plans to facilitate production trades of tokenized real-world assets, shifting market attention toward institutional tokenization frameworks.
Asentum launches $ASE token presale, highlighting competitive crypto token launches
June 30, 2026 drops to 7%7%
While not directly related to Base, the launch of Asentum's $ASE token presale in May 2026 exemplified the competitive environment for new tokens, underscoring the challenges Base faces in launching its own token amid regulatory and market pressures. This context contributed to declining confidence in a Base token launch by June 30, 2026.
Base announces 2026 focus on tokenized markets, stablecoins, and developer growth
December 31, 2026 dips to 41%2%
Base outlined its 2026 strategy to expand onchain markets, scale stablecoin payments, and grow its developer ecosystem, signaling progress toward a broader onchain economy and indirectly supporting the potential for a future token launch. This strategic focus increased market anticipation for a token launch later in the year.
Base Unveils 2026 Strategy Focusing on Tokenized Markets and Stablecoins
December 31, 2026 drops to 37%5%
Base outlined its official 2026 roadmap focusing on expanding tokenized asset markets, scaling stablecoin payments, and growing its developer ecosystem, but did not announce a native token.
Based Foundation Launches BASED Token and Secures OKX Exchange Listing
June 30, 2026 jumps to 12%5%
The Based Foundation officially launched its BASED token on March 30, 2026, with trading pairs going live on OKX. This event clarified that the 'BASED' token launch was an independent project and not the official native network token for Coinbase's Base L2, leading to a minor temporary rebound in speculative trading.
Yellow Launches Proprietary Trading Platform and $YELLOW Token
Yellow, an ecosystem dedicated to real-time, non-custodial cross-chain trading, announced the successful launch of its proprietary trading platform and $YELLOW token, adding to the 2026 token launch landscape.
Doppler Token Launch Platform Powering Base Ecosystem Expands to Solana
June 30, 2026 rises to 15%4%
Doppler, the primary token launch platform on Base, announced its expansion to Solana, highlighting the competitive landscape for token launches across chains.
Trakx announces on-chain Crypto Tradable Indices launch, signaling broader tokenization trends
June 30, 2026 drops to 14%6%
Trakx's launch of on-chain Crypto Tradable Indices on February 25, 2026, reflects the growing tokenization trend in crypto markets, indirectly influencing sentiment around token launches including Base's, but no direct Base token launch news emerged, keeping market odds low for mid-2026.
Base Network Confirms Exploration of Native Token Launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 43%9%
Representatives for Base confirmed the network was exploring the launch of its own native token, which drew market cap estimates between $12 billion and $34 billion.
Base Announces Shift to Unified Tech Stack and Away From Optimism Technology
June 30, 2026 drops to 14%6%
Base announced plans to modify its technology foundation and introduce a new unified tech stack to ship upgrades faster. This technical shift and the lack of immediate token details caused a drop in short-term launch expectations.
Base Announces Transition Away From Optimism OP Stack to Independent Stack
December 31, 2026 drops to 43%8%
Base announced it is leaving behind the Optimism technology stack to transition to its own consolidated 'base/base' stack to speed up upgrades and reduce developer overhead, fueling speculation about its independent roadmap.
Base network announces shift away from Optimism's OP Stack amid token launch speculation
December 31, 2026 drops to 47%5%
Base announced it would move away from Optimism's OP Stack technology, signaling a major technical shift. This update, following Coinbase's Q4 earnings, reinforced that Base is preparing for a token launch but also highlighted ongoing development and uncertainty, contributing to price declines.
Base announces departure from Optimism tech amid token launch speculation
December 31, 2026 drops to 45%13%
Base announced it would move away from the Optimism technology stack to enable faster upgrades and reduce overhead. This technical shift, coupled with ongoing token launch speculation, suggested a longer timeline for the token release, reinforcing market skepticism and contributing to further price declines for both outcomes.
Coinbase's Base Network Announces Move Away from Optimism Technology Stack
December 31, 2026 drops to 43%9%
Base announced it was transitioning to its own consolidated 'base/base' stack, citing faster upgrades and reduced overhead. This strategic shift raised speculation about a potential native token launch for the network.
DWF Labs analysis suggests Base token could redirect sequencer income to holders
In February 2026, DWF Labs published analysis indicating a potential Base token could redirect 85% of sequencer income to token holders, signaling strong fundamentals for a future token. This analysis increased speculation about a Base token launch, impacting market sentiment positively for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
Base announces exploration of token launch with potential timing between Q2-Q4 2026
June 30, 2026 drops to 14%6%
Base officially confirmed it is exploring launching a native token with a potential launch window in the second half of 2026. This announcement clarified the timeline, reducing market confidence in a token launch by mid-2026 and pushing probabilities lower for the June 30, 2026 outcome.
Uniswap launches CCA token auction feature on Base network
December 31, 2026 dips to 70%2%
Uniswap deployed its Continuous Clearing Auction (CCA) mechanism on Base, enhancing token launch capabilities with transparent pricing and instant liquidity. While this development increased Base's ecosystem utility, it did not directly indicate an imminent Base token launch, thus having limited impact on the market's token launch timing expectations.
JPMorgan analysts estimate Base token could unlock $34 billion value, launch expected Q2-Q4 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 67%4%
JPMorgan analysts framed the Base token as a major monetization lever for Coinbase but noted no specific launch timeline, expecting it between Q2 and Q4 2026. This tempered expectations for a launch before mid-2026, impacting market prices for earlier outcomes.
JPMorgan estimates Base token could unlock $34 billion
JPMorgan analysts estimated a Base token could unlock up to $34 billion in value, framing it as a monetization lever for Coinbase.
JPMorgan analysts expect Base token launch between Q2-Q4 2026
June 30, 2026 drops to 13%10%
JPMorgan analysts estimated the Base token could unlock up to $34 billion in value and framed it as a major monetization lever for Coinbase. The team communicated expectations for a launch between Q2 and Q4 2026, pushing the market to lower odds for earlier launches and causing a price decline for the June 30, 2026 outcome.
Base development team reiterates exploration of native token launch with no confirmed date
June 30, 2026 dips to 22%1%
Base's team continued to confirm they are exploring a native token launch but emphasized no official release date, maintaining market uncertainty and contributing to a gradual decline in the probability of a mid-2026 launch.
Base announces exploration of native token with Q2-Q4 2026 potential
Web3.gate reported Base's exploration of a native token with potential deployment between Q2-Q4 2026, confirming the initiative.
Base confirms exploration of native token launch with no fixed timeline
December 31, 2026 dips to 70%4%
Base leadership officially confirmed plans to launch a native token but emphasized that the timeline remains unconfirmed, with expectations for late 2025 or early 2026. This announcement shifted market speculation from mere rumors to concrete plans but left uncertainty about the exact launch date, causing moderate price adjustments.
Base token launch timeline remains unconfirmed but anticipated in late 2025 or early 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 70%4%
An article detailed Base's ongoing exploration of native token design and incentives, highlighting that the official launch details and distribution schedule were yet to be announced by Coinbase leadership. This uncertainty contributed to cautious market sentiment about an imminent token launch.
Lighter DEX launches LIT token with 25% airdrop, highlighting competitive token launches in late 2025
December 31, 2026 dips to 72%3%
The launch of Lighter's LIT token with a significant airdrop in late December 2025 exemplified the competitive environment for token launches, possibly diverting attention and liquidity away from Base's token prospects, impacting market sentiment negatively for a 2025 Base token launch.
Coinbase CFO hints at December 17 product reveal but no token launch confirmed
December 31, 2026 drops to 75%5%
Despite the product reveal hint, Coinbase leadership, including CEO Brian Armstrong, emphasized no official plans for a Base token launch in 2025, tempering market expectations and contributing to a decline in short-term launch odds.
Base schedules 'System Update' livestream, markets price potential token announcement
December 31, 2026 dips to 80%4%
A livestream event scheduled for December 17, 2025, was widely anticipated as a potential moment for Base to announce a native token. Markets showed strong 'YES' positions for a tradeable Base token by year-end, but the event did not confirm a token launch, leading to some price retracement.
Coinbase Unveils Global Base App and Stock Trading, No Native Token Announced
June 30, 2026 plunges to 33%20%
Coinbase's highly anticipated system update revealed the global launch of the Base App, prediction markets, and tokenized stock trading, but did not include a native Base network token, disappointing near-term launch expectations.
Coinbase Hosts System Update Livestream Amid Intense Base Token Speculation
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%27%
Coinbase scheduled a 'System Update' livestream on December 17, 2025, which markets heavily priced in as a potential native Base token announcement. The lack of an immediate tradeable network token launch following the stream led to a sharp drop in the near-term June 30, 2026 market.
Coinbase Launches Global Base App and Stock Trading but Omits Native Token Announcement
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%20%
Coinbase rolled out its global Base App and stock trading features during its highly anticipated 'System Update' livestream. Because the event did not include any announcement of a native Base network token, the probability of a near-term launch by June 30, 2026, began to decline sharply.
Coinbase Launches Tokenized 'Base App' Globally Without Native Network Token
June 30, 2026 drops to 35%10%
Coinbase officially launched the 'Base App' globally as an 'Everything App' for social, trading, and payments. While the app features a tokenized reward model, it did not include the launch of a native Base network token, leading to a sharp decline in the probability of an early 2026 token launch.
Base App Prepares for Public Launch with Trading-First Redesign
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%20%
As the Base App prepared to open to the public in mid-December with a finance-centric UX, traders adjusted expectations, realizing the app would need time to operate before any token launch.
Speculation Mounts Over Rumored December 17 Base Token Announcement
June 30, 2026 surges to 65%15%
Rumors and prediction market activity intensified around a potential Base token announcement linked to a scheduled 'System Update' livestream on December 17, 2025.
Base Teases 'Wrist-check, 12.18.25' Fueling Token Launch Rumors
June 30, 2026 surges to 65%15%
Base posted a teaser on social media reading 'Wrist-check, 12.18.25', which traders heavily interpreted as a potential countdown to a native token announcement or launch roadmap, driving up speculative positions.
Base teases product reveal with 'Wrist-check, 12.18.25' hint fueling token launch rumors
December 31, 2026 jumps to 74%6%
Base posted a teaser hinting at a product reveal on December 17-18, 2025, which fueled speculation about a possible token launch. This increased market optimism temporarily, reflected in price rises, but no official token launch was confirmed at that time.
Base Clarifies Personal Creator Token Is Not an Official Network Token
December 31, 2026 plunges to 69%17%
Following the launch of the 'jesse' token and automatic mints on Zora, a Base spokesperson clarified that these were not official Base network tokens, leading to a temporary drop in speculative hype.
Base Developer Jesse Pollak Launches Personal Creator Token 'JESSE'
December 31, 2026 rises to 75%2%
Base core developer Jesse Pollak announced and launched his personal creator token, JESSE, on the Base App, drawing massive attention to the platform's tokenization capabilities.
Base co-founder Jesse Pollak announces launch of personal creator token 'jesse'
December 31, 2026 surges to 68%18%
Jesse Pollak, a core developer for Base, officially announced and launched his personal creator token 'jesse' on November 20, 2025, via the Base app. This event generated excitement and demonstrated Base's capability to launch tokens, but it was a personal creator token, not a native Base network token, thus not fulfilling the market's main question.
Base Core Developer Jesse Pollak Launches Personal Creator Token 'jesse'
December 31, 2026 surges to 87%37%
Jesse Pollak, a core developer for Coinbase's Layer 2 network Base, officially launched his personal creator token 'jesse' on the Base application. This event sparked intense speculation and excitement regarding native token launches on the Base network, causing a sharp price spike in the December 31, 2026 market.
Base Co-Founder Jesse Pollak Announces Personal Creator Token Launch
December 31, 2026 surges to 86%36%
Jesse Pollak announced the upcoming launch of his personal creator token, 'jesse', on the Base App. This sparked massive speculation and confusion regarding whether this was the precursor to an official Base network token, driving up the probability of a launch.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Base Network Confirms Token Launch with TBA Date
A comprehensive guide confirmed that Base has a confirmed token launch scheduled for 2026, with the exact date still unannounced. This official confirmation solidified the project's timeline and market expectations.
Base activates Azul upgrade, improving performance and reducing withdrawal times
December 31, 2026 drops to 33%6%
Base activated the Azul mainnet upgrade on May 28, 2026, enhancing security and scaling performance to 5,000 TPS and reducing withdrawal times. This technical progress supported Base's infrastructure but did not signal a token launch, contributing to continued price declines for token launch outcomes.
Base Activates Azul Upgrade on Mainnet to Reduce Withdrawal Times
June 30, 2026 dips to 1%1%
Base successfully launched its independent 'Base Azul' upgrade on mainnet, signaling technical progress but confirming that the next major upgrade with an enshrined token standard would not occur until the end of June 2026.
Base Activates Azul Mainnet Upgrade to Slash Withdrawal Times
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%2%
Base successfully activated its major Azul upgrade on mainnet, introducing multi-proofs and cutting withdrawal finality to 1 day. The upgrade focused purely on technical scaling and decentralization milestones rather than token distribution.
Base Launches Base MCP to Enable AI Agents to Execute On-Chain DeFi Transactions
December 31, 2026 drops to 33%6%
Base introduced the Model Context Protocol (MCP) to connect AI agents to crypto wallets. Although highly anticipated, the rollout did not include any native token announcement, leading to a drop in speculative launch probabilities.
Base launches AI integration tool Base MCP enabling AI agents to execute on-chain DeFi
December 31, 2026 drops to 33%6%
On May 26, 2026, Base launched Base MCP, an AI integration allowing AI agents like ChatGPT to interact with Base accounts for DeFi actions. This innovation highlighted Base's focus on ecosystem development but did not include any token launch, leading to further market skepticism about a near-term token issuance.
Base confirms mainnet launch date for Azul upgrade enhancing network autonomy
December 31, 2026 dips to 33%4%
Base confirmed May 13, 2026, as the mainnet launch date for the Azul upgrade, which increases Base's autonomy and flexibility by moving away from reliance on Optimism Superchain upgrades. This technical milestone supports Base's roadmap and potential token launch prospects by improving network infrastructure.
Circle raises $222 million in presale of native token for new blockchain
December 31, 2026 dips to 40%1%
Circle announced a $222 million presale for its new blockchain's native token, reflecting the broader trend of major crypto firms advancing token launches in 2026. While not directly about Base, this event underscored the competitive and regulatory environment influencing Base's token launch timeline and market sentiment.
Base, Coinbase, and Centrifuge Launch Tokenized S&P 500 Exposure via deRWA Framework
December 31, 2026 dips to 37%4%
Base expanded its real-world asset (RWA) ecosystem by launching a tokenized S&P 500 product. While showcasing Base's growing utility, the focus on institutional asset tokenization rather than a native network token kept launch expectations subdued.
Base Launches Tokenized S&P 500 Product with Coinbase and Centrifuge
December 31, 2026 dips to 37%2%
Base announced the launch of tokenized S&P 500 exposure on its blockchain, demonstrating its focus on real-world asset tokenization rather than launching its own native network token.
DTCC Announces October Launch for Tokenized Securities Platform
December 31, 2026 dips to 39%2%
Wall Street clearinghouse DTCC announced plans to facilitate production trades of tokenized real-world assets, shifting market attention toward institutional tokenization frameworks.
Asentum launches $ASE token presale, highlighting competitive crypto token launches
June 30, 2026 drops to 7%7%
While not directly related to Base, the launch of Asentum's $ASE token presale in May 2026 exemplified the competitive environment for new tokens, underscoring the challenges Base faces in launching its own token amid regulatory and market pressures. This context contributed to declining confidence in a Base token launch by June 30, 2026.
Base announces 2026 focus on tokenized markets, stablecoins, and developer growth
December 31, 2026 dips to 41%2%
Base outlined its 2026 strategy to expand onchain markets, scale stablecoin payments, and grow its developer ecosystem, signaling progress toward a broader onchain economy and indirectly supporting the potential for a future token launch. This strategic focus increased market anticipation for a token launch later in the year.
Base Unveils 2026 Strategy Focusing on Tokenized Markets and Stablecoins
December 31, 2026 drops to 37%5%
Base outlined its official 2026 roadmap focusing on expanding tokenized asset markets, scaling stablecoin payments, and growing its developer ecosystem, but did not announce a native token.
Based Foundation Launches BASED Token and Secures OKX Exchange Listing
June 30, 2026 jumps to 12%5%
The Based Foundation officially launched its BASED token on March 30, 2026, with trading pairs going live on OKX. This event clarified that the 'BASED' token launch was an independent project and not the official native network token for Coinbase's Base L2, leading to a minor temporary rebound in speculative trading.
Yellow Launches Proprietary Trading Platform and $YELLOW Token
Yellow, an ecosystem dedicated to real-time, non-custodial cross-chain trading, announced the successful launch of its proprietary trading platform and $YELLOW token, adding to the 2026 token launch landscape.
Doppler Token Launch Platform Powering Base Ecosystem Expands to Solana
June 30, 2026 rises to 15%4%
Doppler, the primary token launch platform on Base, announced its expansion to Solana, highlighting the competitive landscape for token launches across chains.
Trakx announces on-chain Crypto Tradable Indices launch, signaling broader tokenization trends
June 30, 2026 drops to 14%6%
Trakx's launch of on-chain Crypto Tradable Indices on February 25, 2026, reflects the growing tokenization trend in crypto markets, indirectly influencing sentiment around token launches including Base's, but no direct Base token launch news emerged, keeping market odds low for mid-2026.
Base Network Confirms Exploration of Native Token Launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 43%9%
Representatives for Base confirmed the network was exploring the launch of its own native token, which drew market cap estimates between $12 billion and $34 billion.
Base Announces Shift to Unified Tech Stack and Away From Optimism Technology
June 30, 2026 drops to 14%6%
Base announced plans to modify its technology foundation and introduce a new unified tech stack to ship upgrades faster. This technical shift and the lack of immediate token details caused a drop in short-term launch expectations.
Base Announces Transition Away From Optimism OP Stack to Independent Stack
December 31, 2026 drops to 43%8%
Base announced it is leaving behind the Optimism technology stack to transition to its own consolidated 'base/base' stack to speed up upgrades and reduce developer overhead, fueling speculation about its independent roadmap.
Base network announces shift away from Optimism's OP Stack amid token launch speculation
December 31, 2026 drops to 47%5%
Base announced it would move away from Optimism's OP Stack technology, signaling a major technical shift. This update, following Coinbase's Q4 earnings, reinforced that Base is preparing for a token launch but also highlighted ongoing development and uncertainty, contributing to price declines.
Base announces departure from Optimism tech amid token launch speculation
December 31, 2026 drops to 45%13%
Base announced it would move away from the Optimism technology stack to enable faster upgrades and reduce overhead. This technical shift, coupled with ongoing token launch speculation, suggested a longer timeline for the token release, reinforcing market skepticism and contributing to further price declines for both outcomes.
Coinbase's Base Network Announces Move Away from Optimism Technology Stack
December 31, 2026 drops to 43%9%
Base announced it was transitioning to its own consolidated 'base/base' stack, citing faster upgrades and reduced overhead. This strategic shift raised speculation about a potential native token launch for the network.
DWF Labs analysis suggests Base token could redirect sequencer income to holders
In February 2026, DWF Labs published analysis indicating a potential Base token could redirect 85% of sequencer income to token holders, signaling strong fundamentals for a future token. This analysis increased speculation about a Base token launch, impacting market sentiment positively for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
Base announces exploration of token launch with potential timing between Q2-Q4 2026
June 30, 2026 drops to 14%6%
Base officially confirmed it is exploring launching a native token with a potential launch window in the second half of 2026. This announcement clarified the timeline, reducing market confidence in a token launch by mid-2026 and pushing probabilities lower for the June 30, 2026 outcome.
Uniswap launches CCA token auction feature on Base network
December 31, 2026 dips to 70%2%
Uniswap deployed its Continuous Clearing Auction (CCA) mechanism on Base, enhancing token launch capabilities with transparent pricing and instant liquidity. While this development increased Base's ecosystem utility, it did not directly indicate an imminent Base token launch, thus having limited impact on the market's token launch timing expectations.
JPMorgan analysts estimate Base token could unlock $34 billion value, launch expected Q2-Q4 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 67%4%
JPMorgan analysts framed the Base token as a major monetization lever for Coinbase but noted no specific launch timeline, expecting it between Q2 and Q4 2026. This tempered expectations for a launch before mid-2026, impacting market prices for earlier outcomes.
JPMorgan estimates Base token could unlock $34 billion
JPMorgan analysts estimated a Base token could unlock up to $34 billion in value, framing it as a monetization lever for Coinbase.
JPMorgan analysts expect Base token launch between Q2-Q4 2026
June 30, 2026 drops to 13%10%
JPMorgan analysts estimated the Base token could unlock up to $34 billion in value and framed it as a major monetization lever for Coinbase. The team communicated expectations for a launch between Q2 and Q4 2026, pushing the market to lower odds for earlier launches and causing a price decline for the June 30, 2026 outcome.
Base development team reiterates exploration of native token launch with no confirmed date
June 30, 2026 dips to 22%1%
Base's team continued to confirm they are exploring a native token launch but emphasized no official release date, maintaining market uncertainty and contributing to a gradual decline in the probability of a mid-2026 launch.
Base announces exploration of native token with Q2-Q4 2026 potential
Web3.gate reported Base's exploration of a native token with potential deployment between Q2-Q4 2026, confirming the initiative.
Base confirms exploration of native token launch with no fixed timeline
December 31, 2026 dips to 70%4%
Base leadership officially confirmed plans to launch a native token but emphasized that the timeline remains unconfirmed, with expectations for late 2025 or early 2026. This announcement shifted market speculation from mere rumors to concrete plans but left uncertainty about the exact launch date, causing moderate price adjustments.
Base token launch timeline remains unconfirmed but anticipated in late 2025 or early 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 70%4%
An article detailed Base's ongoing exploration of native token design and incentives, highlighting that the official launch details and distribution schedule were yet to be announced by Coinbase leadership. This uncertainty contributed to cautious market sentiment about an imminent token launch.
Lighter DEX launches LIT token with 25% airdrop, highlighting competitive token launches in late 2025
December 31, 2026 dips to 72%3%
The launch of Lighter's LIT token with a significant airdrop in late December 2025 exemplified the competitive environment for token launches, possibly diverting attention and liquidity away from Base's token prospects, impacting market sentiment negatively for a 2025 Base token launch.
Coinbase CFO hints at December 17 product reveal but no token launch confirmed
December 31, 2026 drops to 75%5%
Despite the product reveal hint, Coinbase leadership, including CEO Brian Armstrong, emphasized no official plans for a Base token launch in 2025, tempering market expectations and contributing to a decline in short-term launch odds.
Base schedules 'System Update' livestream, markets price potential token announcement
December 31, 2026 dips to 80%4%
A livestream event scheduled for December 17, 2025, was widely anticipated as a potential moment for Base to announce a native token. Markets showed strong 'YES' positions for a tradeable Base token by year-end, but the event did not confirm a token launch, leading to some price retracement.
Coinbase Unveils Global Base App and Stock Trading, No Native Token Announced
June 30, 2026 plunges to 33%20%
Coinbase's highly anticipated system update revealed the global launch of the Base App, prediction markets, and tokenized stock trading, but did not include a native Base network token, disappointing near-term launch expectations.
Coinbase Hosts System Update Livestream Amid Intense Base Token Speculation
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%27%
Coinbase scheduled a 'System Update' livestream on December 17, 2025, which markets heavily priced in as a potential native Base token announcement. The lack of an immediate tradeable network token launch following the stream led to a sharp drop in the near-term June 30, 2026 market.
Coinbase Launches Global Base App and Stock Trading but Omits Native Token Announcement
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%20%
Coinbase rolled out its global Base App and stock trading features during its highly anticipated 'System Update' livestream. Because the event did not include any announcement of a native Base network token, the probability of a near-term launch by June 30, 2026, began to decline sharply.
Coinbase Launches Tokenized 'Base App' Globally Without Native Network Token
June 30, 2026 drops to 35%10%
Coinbase officially launched the 'Base App' globally as an 'Everything App' for social, trading, and payments. While the app features a tokenized reward model, it did not include the launch of a native Base network token, leading to a sharp decline in the probability of an early 2026 token launch.
Base App Prepares for Public Launch with Trading-First Redesign
June 30, 2026 plunges to 28%20%
As the Base App prepared to open to the public in mid-December with a finance-centric UX, traders adjusted expectations, realizing the app would need time to operate before any token launch.
Speculation Mounts Over Rumored December 17 Base Token Announcement
June 30, 2026 surges to 65%15%
Rumors and prediction market activity intensified around a potential Base token announcement linked to a scheduled 'System Update' livestream on December 17, 2025.
Base Teases 'Wrist-check, 12.18.25' Fueling Token Launch Rumors
June 30, 2026 surges to 65%15%
Base posted a teaser on social media reading 'Wrist-check, 12.18.25', which traders heavily interpreted as a potential countdown to a native token announcement or launch roadmap, driving up speculative positions.
Base teases product reveal with 'Wrist-check, 12.18.25' hint fueling token launch rumors
December 31, 2026 jumps to 74%6%
Base posted a teaser hinting at a product reveal on December 17-18, 2025, which fueled speculation about a possible token launch. This increased market optimism temporarily, reflected in price rises, but no official token launch was confirmed at that time.
Base Clarifies Personal Creator Token Is Not an Official Network Token
December 31, 2026 plunges to 69%17%
Following the launch of the 'jesse' token and automatic mints on Zora, a Base spokesperson clarified that these were not official Base network tokens, leading to a temporary drop in speculative hype.
Base Developer Jesse Pollak Launches Personal Creator Token 'JESSE'
December 31, 2026 rises to 75%2%
Base core developer Jesse Pollak announced and launched his personal creator token, JESSE, on the Base App, drawing massive attention to the platform's tokenization capabilities.
Base co-founder Jesse Pollak announces launch of personal creator token 'jesse'
December 31, 2026 surges to 68%18%
Jesse Pollak, a core developer for Base, officially announced and launched his personal creator token 'jesse' on November 20, 2025, via the Base app. This event generated excitement and demonstrated Base's capability to launch tokens, but it was a personal creator token, not a native Base network token, thus not fulfilling the market's main question.
Base Core Developer Jesse Pollak Launches Personal Creator Token 'jesse'
December 31, 2026 surges to 87%37%
Jesse Pollak, a core developer for Coinbase's Layer 2 network Base, officially launched his personal creator token 'jesse' on the Base application. This event sparked intense speculation and excitement regarding native token launches on the Base network, causing a sharp price spike in the December 31, 2026 market.
Base Co-Founder Jesse Pollak Announces Personal Creator Token Launch
December 31, 2026 surges to 86%36%
Jesse Pollak announced the upcoming launch of his personal creator token, 'jesse', on the Base App. This sparked massive speculation and confusion regarding whether this was the precursor to an official Base network token, driving up the probability of a launch.
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题