Twitch Partner Dantes maintains strong trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for no ban by May 1, driven by his spotless record since November 2025 partnership approval after years of rejections and a prior indefinite suspension for username issues. With no verified violations, controversies, or moderation strikes in the past 30 days—including active League of Legends streams as recently as yesterday—traders view his compliance with platform guidelines as the key stabilizer amid his high-energy, meme-heavy style. Historical Twitch crackdowns on edgy content keep a 33.5% Yes risk alive, but the three-week deadline favors the status quo absent fresh clips or reports sparking enforcement. Watch for subathon marathons or guest collabs as potential swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-05-01
是
最新
最新
2026-05-01
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Twitch Partner Dantes maintains strong trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for no ban by May 1, driven by his spotless record since November 2025 partnership approval after years of rejections and a prior indefinite suspension for username issues. With no verified violations, controversies, or moderation strikes in the past 30 days—including active League of Legends streams as recently as yesterday—traders view his compliance with platform guidelines as the key stabilizer amid his high-energy, meme-heavy style. Historical Twitch crackdowns on edgy content keep a 33.5% Yes risk alive, but the three-week deadline favors the status quo absent fresh clips or reports sparking enforcement. Watch for subathon marathons or guest collabs as potential swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 10, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Mar 10, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Twitch Partner Dantes maintains strong trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for no ban by May 1, driven by his spotless record since November 2025 partnership approval after years of rejections and a prior indefinite suspension for username issues. With no verified violations, controversies, or moderation strikes in the past 30 days—including active League of Legends streams as recently as yesterday—traders view his compliance with platform guidelines as the key stabilizer amid his high-energy, meme-heavy style. Historical Twitch crackdowns on edgy content keep a 33.5% Yes risk alive, but the three-week deadline favors the status quo absent fresh clips or reports sparking enforcement. Watch for subathon marathons or guest collabs as potential swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect.
For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count.
The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Mar 10, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Twitch Partner Dantes maintains strong trader consensus at 66.5% implied probability for no ban by May 1, driven by his spotless record since November 2025 partnership approval after years of rejections and a prior indefinite suspension for username issues. With no verified violations, controversies, or moderation strikes in the past 30 days—including active League of Legends streams as recently as yesterday—traders view his compliance with platform guidelines as the key stabilizer amid his high-energy, meme-heavy style. Historical Twitch crackdowns on edgy content keep a 33.5% Yes risk alive, but the three-week deadline favors the status quo absent fresh clips or reports sparking enforcement. Watch for subathon marathons or guest collabs as potential swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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