Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-20
9月20日
48%
9月30日
49%
10月31日
18%
$316 交易量
9月20日
$108 交易量
48%
9月30日
$0 交易量
49%
10月31日
$208 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
交易量
$316结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$316结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETRecent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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