Following Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's new Supreme Leader in March amid ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment reflects limited direct diplomatic engagement so far, shaped by President Trump's public statements questioning Mojtaba's legitimacy, describing him as unacceptable without U.S. input, and indicating conditional openness to talks only if tied to a verifiable deal. U.S. policy has emphasized maximum pressure, military posture, and influence over Iranian leadership transitions rather than immediate bilateral contact. Low implied probabilities in related markets align with this pattern of rhetorical posturing, succession uncertainty, and absence of confirmed backchannel progress or scheduled high-level meetings through mid-2026, though any escalation in negotiations or de-escalation signals could alter timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$619,748 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
8%
$619,748 交易量
12月31日
$116,720 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's new Supreme Leader in March amid ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment reflects limited direct diplomatic engagement so far, shaped by President Trump's public statements questioning Mojtaba's legitimacy, describing him as unacceptable without U.S. input, and indicating conditional openness to talks only if tied to a verifiable deal. U.S. policy has emphasized maximum pressure, military posture, and influence over Iranian leadership transitions rather than immediate bilateral contact. Low implied probabilities in related markets align with this pattern of rhetorical posturing, succession uncertainty, and absence of confirmed backchannel progress or scheduled high-level meetings through mid-2026, though any escalation in negotiations or de-escalation signals could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$619,748结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's new Supreme Leader in March amid ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment reflects limited direct diplomatic engagement so far, shaped by President Trump's public statements questioning Mojtaba's legitimacy, describing him as unacceptable without U.S. input, and indicating conditional openness to talks only if tied to a verifiable deal. U.S. policy has emphasized maximum pressure, military posture, and influence over Iranian leadership transitions rather than immediate bilateral contact. Low implied probabilities in related markets align with this pattern of rhetorical posturing, succession uncertainty, and absence of confirmed backchannel progress or scheduled high-level meetings through mid-2026, though any escalation in negotiations or de-escalation signals could alter timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$619,748结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following Ali Khamenei's assassination in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's new Supreme Leader in March amid ongoing regional conflict. Trader sentiment reflects limited direct diplomatic engagement so far, shaped by President Trump's public statements questioning Mojtaba's legitimacy, describing him as unacceptable without U.S. input, and indicating conditional openness to talks only if tied to a verifiable deal. U.S. policy has emphasized maximum pressure, military posture, and influence over Iranian leadership transitions rather than immediate bilateral contact. Low implied probabilities in related markets align with this pattern of rhetorical posturing, succession uncertainty, and absence of confirmed backchannel progress or scheduled high-level meetings through mid-2026, though any escalation in negotiations or de-escalation signals could alter timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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