France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法国 100.0%
塞内加尔 <1%
挪威 <1%
伊拉克 <1%
$1,519,211 交易量
$1,519,211 交易量
2026-06-27
塞内加尔
否
挪威
否
法国
是
伊拉克
否
法国 100.0%
塞内加尔 <1%
挪威 <1%
伊拉克 <1%
$1,519,211 交易量
$1,519,211 交易量
2026-06-27
塞内加尔
$196,415 交易量
否
挪威
$360,065 交易量
否
法国
$820,706 交易量
是
伊拉克
$142,026 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,519,211结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,519,211结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
France leads Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup with a 75.5% implied probability, driven by its superior squad depth, attacking talent including Kylian Mbappé, and proven major-tournament pedigree. A 3-1 opening win over Senegal reinforced that edge. Norway sits at 21.5% after a dominant 4-1 victory over Iraq featuring Erling Haaland, giving the side momentum and a realistic path if it secures results against Senegal and France in the remaining fixtures. Senegal (1.6%) remains competitive despite the loss, while Iraq (0.1%) trails after conceding heavily and faces the steepest climb. Current trader consensus reflects France’s overall quality alongside Norway’s early form in a group where the top two advance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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