France's status as the world number one and 2022 runners-up, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé and deep squad resources, underpins their 66.5% implied probability as Group I favorites ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 23.5% share reflects Erling Haaland's scoring threat and strong qualifying form, creating a competitive dynamic with the French in a group featuring matches in New Jersey, Boston, Philadelphia, and Toronto. Senegal at 10.5% draws support from recent AFCON pedigree and organized play, while Iraq's 1.0% rests on limited recent international success and first appearance since 1986, leaving little room for an upset despite the group's overall strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于法国 67%
挪威 24%
塞内加尔 11%
伊拉克 1.0%
$237,322 交易量
$237,322 交易量
2026-06-27
法国
67%
挪威
24%
塞内加尔
11%
伊拉克
1%
法国 67%
挪威 24%
塞内加尔 11%
伊拉克 1.0%
$237,322 交易量
$237,322 交易量
2026-06-27
法国
$109,640 交易量
67%
挪威
$37,704 交易量
24%
塞内加尔
$31,705 交易量
11%
伊拉克
$58,274 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the world number one and 2022 runners-up, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé and deep squad resources, underpins their 66.5% implied probability as Group I favorites ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 23.5% share reflects Erling Haaland's scoring threat and strong qualifying form, creating a competitive dynamic with the French in a group featuring matches in New Jersey, Boston, Philadelphia, and Toronto. Senegal at 10.5% draws support from recent AFCON pedigree and organized play, while Iraq's 1.0% rests on limited recent international success and first appearance since 1986, leaving little room for an upset despite the group's overall strength.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$237,322结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the world number one and 2022 runners-up, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé and deep squad resources, underpins their 66.5% implied probability as Group I favorites ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 23.5% share reflects Erling Haaland's scoring threat and strong qualifying form, creating a competitive dynamic with the French in a group featuring matches in New Jersey, Boston, Philadelphia, and Toronto. Senegal at 10.5% draws support from recent AFCON pedigree and organized play, while Iraq's 1.0% rests on limited recent international success and first appearance since 1986, leaving little room for an upset despite the group's overall strength.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$237,322结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's status as the world number one and 2022 runners-up, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé and deep squad resources, underpins their 66.5% implied probability as Group I favorites ahead of the June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 23.5% share reflects Erling Haaland's scoring threat and strong qualifying form, creating a competitive dynamic with the French in a group featuring matches in New Jersey, Boston, Philadelphia, and Toronto. Senegal at 10.5% draws support from recent AFCON pedigree and organized play, while Iraq's 1.0% rests on limited recent international success and first appearance since 1986, leaving little room for an upset despite the group's overall strength.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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