Trader consensus prices a draw at 60% for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana in Round 8 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess norms where top GMs frequently split the point in a 14-round double round-robin. Caruana holds a slight 22% edge over Nakamura's 20.5% implied probability, driven by his solid 4.5/7 tally in sole second behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (6/7), including a hard-fought Round 1 win over Nakamura and recent victories against Bluebaum and Giri. Nakamura languishes at 2.5/7 without a win, surviving a precarious Round 7 draw vs. Bluebaum after being outprepared, underscoring his form slump despite historical head-to-head dominance. Both drew in Round 7—Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa—heightening caution ahead of this pivotal clash post-rest day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
下午 12:45四月 7
$770.47 Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 60% for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana in Round 8 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess norms where top GMs frequently split the point in a 14-round double round-robin. Caruana holds a slight 22% edge over Nakamura's 20.5% implied probability, driven by his solid 4.5/7 tally in sole second behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (6/7), including a hard-fought Round 1 win over Nakamura and recent victories against Bluebaum and Giri. Nakamura languishes at 2.5/7 without a win, surviving a precarious Round 7 draw vs. Bluebaum after being outprepared, underscoring his form slump despite historical head-to-head dominance. Both drew in Round 7—Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa—heightening caution ahead of this pivotal clash post-rest day.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 5, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
交易量
$770结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 5, 2026, 10:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...下午 12:45四月 7
$770.47 Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 60% for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana in Round 8 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess norms where top GMs frequently split the point in a 14-round double round-robin. Caruana holds a slight 22% edge over Nakamura's 20.5% implied probability, driven by his solid 4.5/7 tally in sole second behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (6/7), including a hard-fought Round 1 win over Nakamura and recent victories against Bluebaum and Giri. Nakamura languishes at 2.5/7 without a win, surviving a precarious Round 7 draw vs. Bluebaum after being outprepared, underscoring his form slump despite historical head-to-head dominance. Both drew in Round 7—Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa—heightening caution ahead of this pivotal clash post-rest day.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 5, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
交易量
$770结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 5, 2026, 10:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 60% for Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana in Round 8 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess norms where top GMs frequently split the point in a 14-round double round-robin. Caruana holds a slight 22% edge over Nakamura's 20.5% implied probability, driven by his solid 4.5/7 tally in sole second behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (6/7), including a hard-fought Round 1 win over Nakamura and recent victories against Bluebaum and Giri. Nakamura languishes at 2.5/7 without a win, surviving a precarious Round 7 draw vs. Bluebaum after being outprepared, underscoring his form slump despite historical head-to-head dominance. Both drew in Round 7—Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa—heightening caution ahead of this pivotal clash post-rest day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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