Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
89.47%
94.65%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
98.88%
99.7%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
24.23%
25.5%
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
81.97%
78.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
30.11%
36.85%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
85.73%
84.5%
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
88.1%
96.65%
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
83.93%
95.8%
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
93.77%
97.6%
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
45.22%
34.49%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
71.17%
87.5%
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
60.06%
62.5%
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?
93%
99.6%
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
40.88%
42.8%
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
43.43%
60.5%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
63%
93%
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
18%
33.5%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
70.6%
96.05%
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
56%
10.5%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?