The distribution of probabilities across turnout ranges from 120 million to over 130 million votes reflects ongoing uncertainty about voter participation levels in the 2026 congressional elections. Midterm turnout has historically varied based on the intensity of partisan competition, economic conditions, and the salience of issues such as immigration, healthcare, and fiscal policy, which can drive mobilization by parties and outside groups. With no dominant single outcome exceeding 30 percent, traders appear to weigh factors including the status of key Senate and House races, early primary results, and campaign fundraising trends that could either boost or suppress overall engagement. Scheduled events like candidate filing deadlines and national party conventions in the coming months may provide clearer signals on enthusiasm and turnout potential.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড130m+ 44%
<85m 18.3%
115-120m 15%
125-130m 15%
<85m
18%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
13%
115-120m
15%
120-125m
28%
125-130m
20%
130m+
29%
130m+ 44%
<85m 18.3%
115-120m 15%
125-130m 15%
<85m
18%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
13%
115-120m
15%
120-125m
28%
125-130m
20%
130m+
29%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The distribution of probabilities across turnout ranges from 120 million to over 130 million votes reflects ongoing uncertainty about voter participation levels in the 2026 congressional elections. Midterm turnout has historically varied based on the intensity of partisan competition, economic conditions, and the salience of issues such as immigration, healthcare, and fiscal policy, which can drive mobilization by parties and outside groups. With no dominant single outcome exceeding 30 percent, traders appear to weigh factors including the status of key Senate and House races, early primary results, and campaign fundraising trends that could either boost or suppress overall engagement. Scheduled events like candidate filing deadlines and national party conventions in the coming months may provide clearer signals on enthusiasm and turnout potential.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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