Jerry Carl leads the Republican primary for Alabama's 1st Congressional District at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of Rhett Marques at 30%, reflecting his prior tenure in the seat from 2021 to 2025 and his 40.3% to 31.1% edge over Marques in the non-binding May 19 ghost primary under the newly redrawn map. That contest highlighted geographic strengths for Carl in southern portions of the district while underscoring Marques' fundraising edge entering 2026 and early backing from figures such as Sen. Katie Britt. The August 11 special primary will decide the nominee after Barry Moore vacated the seat for his Senate bid, with remaining candidates trailing far behind in both the ghost primary and current market pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRhett Marques 8%
James Dees 2.5%
Joshua McKee 2.3%
Austin Sidwell 2.3%
$45,463 Vol.
$45,463 Vol.
May 19, 2026
Rhett Marques
30%
James Dees
3%
Joshua McKee
2%
Austin Sidwell
2%
John Mills
2%
James Richardson
<1%
Jerry Carl
54%
Rhett Marques 8%
James Dees 2.5%
Joshua McKee 2.3%
Austin Sidwell 2.3%
$45,463 Vol.
$45,463 Vol.
May 19, 2026
Rhett Marques
$583 Vol.
30%
James Dees
$4,597 Vol.
3%
Joshua McKee
$221 Vol.
2%
Austin Sidwell
$13,754 Vol.
2%
John Mills
$16,620 Vol.
2%
James Richardson
$6,864 Vol.
<1%
Jerry Carl
$2,824 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl leads the Republican primary for Alabama's 1st Congressional District at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of Rhett Marques at 30%, reflecting his prior tenure in the seat from 2021 to 2025 and his 40.3% to 31.1% edge over Marques in the non-binding May 19 ghost primary under the newly redrawn map. That contest highlighted geographic strengths for Carl in southern portions of the district while underscoring Marques' fundraising edge entering 2026 and early backing from figures such as Sen. Katie Britt. The August 11 special primary will decide the nominee after Barry Moore vacated the seat for his Senate bid, with remaining candidates trailing far behind in both the ghost primary and current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$45,463শেষ তারিখ
May 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl leads the Republican primary for Alabama's 1st Congressional District at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of Rhett Marques at 30%, reflecting his prior tenure in the seat from 2021 to 2025 and his 40.3% to 31.1% edge over Marques in the non-binding May 19 ghost primary under the newly redrawn map. That contest highlighted geographic strengths for Carl in southern portions of the district while underscoring Marques' fundraising edge entering 2026 and early backing from figures such as Sen. Katie Britt. The August 11 special primary will decide the nominee after Barry Moore vacated the seat for his Senate bid, with remaining candidates trailing far behind in both the ghost primary and current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$45,463শেষ তারিখ
May 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the Republican primary for Alabama's 1st Congressional District at 54.5% implied probability, ahead of Rhett Marques at 30%, reflecting his prior tenure in the seat from 2021 to 2025 and his 40.3% to 31.1% edge over Marques in the non-binding May 19 ghost primary under the newly redrawn map. That contest highlighted geographic strengths for Carl in southern portions of the district while underscoring Marques' fundraising edge entering 2026 and early backing from figures such as Sen. Katie Britt. The August 11 special primary will decide the nominee after Barry Moore vacated the seat for his Senate bid, with remaining candidates trailing far behind in both the ghost primary and current market pricing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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