State Rep. Rhett Marques leads trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability in the AL-01 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Barry Moore's Senate bid, ahead of former Rep. Jerry Carl at 34.5%, as recent Q1 fundraising revealed Marques' superior $826,000 cash on hand despite Carl's slight raise edge, enabling aggressive final advertising before the May 19 vote or potential June 16 runoff. A March 31-April 2 PI Polling survey of 505 likely voters showed Carl narrowly ahead 23%-19% amid 50% undecideds, but Marques' endorsements from Sen. Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter signal momentum in this tightening contest, diverging from polls while other candidates like Austin Sidwell and Joshua McKee trail with fragmented support. The April 15 candidate forum highlighted attack lines, including an ALFA endorsement spat favoring Carl.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRhett Marques 56%
Jerry Carl 32%
Joshua McKee 7.2%
Austin Sidwell 5.8%
$38,584 Vol.
$38,584 Vol.
Rhett Marques
56%
Jerry Carl
32%
Joshua McKee
7%
Austin Sidwell
6%
James Richardson
5%
John Mills
3%
James Dees
2%
Rhett Marques 56%
Jerry Carl 32%
Joshua McKee 7.2%
Austin Sidwell 5.8%
$38,584 Vol.
$38,584 Vol.
Rhett Marques
56%
Jerry Carl
32%
Joshua McKee
7%
Austin Sidwell
6%
James Richardson
5%
John Mills
3%
James Dees
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...State Rep. Rhett Marques leads trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability in the AL-01 Republican primary for the open seat vacated by Barry Moore's Senate bid, ahead of former Rep. Jerry Carl at 34.5%, as recent Q1 fundraising revealed Marques' superior $826,000 cash on hand despite Carl's slight raise edge, enabling aggressive final advertising before the May 19 vote or potential June 16 runoff. A March 31-April 2 PI Polling survey of 505 likely voters showed Carl narrowly ahead 23%-19% amid 50% undecideds, but Marques' endorsements from Sen. Katie Britt and House Speaker Nathaniel Ledbetter signal momentum in this tightening contest, diverging from polls while other candidates like Austin Sidwell and Joshua McKee trail with fragmented support. The April 15 candidate forum highlighted attack lines, including an ALFA endorsement spat favoring Carl.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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