Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus due to her strong first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million—over four times incumbent Dan Sullivan’s haul—and multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing her ahead by 5–7 points following her January 2026 entry. The nonpartisan August 18 primary and ranked-choice voting in the November general election introduce uncertainty that markets weigh against Peltola’s prior statewide victories and Sullivan’s established Republican support. The recent qualification of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion in an otherwise competitive contest, keeping the race within striking distance for the incumbent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 42%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$335,181 Vol.
$335,181 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
59%
Dan Sullivan
42%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 59%
Dan Sullivan 42%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$335,181 Vol.
$335,181 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
$165,561 Vol.
59%
Dan Sullivan
$91,934 Vol.
42%
Dustin Darden
$21,931 Vol.
<1%
Ann Diener
$34,206 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grayson
$21,549 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus due to her strong first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million—over four times incumbent Dan Sullivan’s haul—and multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing her ahead by 5–7 points following her January 2026 entry. The nonpartisan August 18 primary and ranked-choice voting in the November general election introduce uncertainty that markets weigh against Peltola’s prior statewide victories and Sullivan’s established Republican support. The recent qualification of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion in an otherwise competitive contest, keeping the race within striking distance for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$335,181শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus due to her strong first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million—over four times incumbent Dan Sullivan’s haul—and multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing her ahead by 5–7 points following her January 2026 entry. The nonpartisan August 18 primary and ranked-choice voting in the November general election introduce uncertainty that markets weigh against Peltola’s prior statewide victories and Sullivan’s established Republican support. The recent qualification of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion in an otherwise competitive contest, keeping the race within striking distance for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ভলিউম
$335,181শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads the Alaska Senate race in trader consensus due to her strong first-quarter fundraising of nearly $9 million—over four times incumbent Dan Sullivan’s haul—and multiple Alaska Survey Research polls showing her ahead by 5–7 points following her January 2026 entry. The nonpartisan August 18 primary and ranked-choice voting in the November general election introduce uncertainty that markets weigh against Peltola’s prior statewide victories and Sullivan’s established Republican support. The recent qualification of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan on the primary ballot has added potential voter confusion in an otherwise competitive contest, keeping the race within striking distance for the incumbent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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