Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%) in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round after topping round one 49%-44%, a 9.8-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 lead. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million and the largest ever for an Alaska Senate candidate—bolsters her position despite his cash-on-hand edge, amid Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and general election November 3 under ranked-choice voting. Minor candidates trail far behind as the race remains competitive in this red-leaning state.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$302,134 Vol.
$302,134 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
64%
Dan Sullivan
35%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$302,134 Vol.
$302,134 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mary Peltola
$152,363 Vol.
64%
Dan Sullivan
$83,374 Vol.
35%
Richard Grayson
$17,018 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Darden
$18,670 Vol.
<1%
Ann Diener
$30,709 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%) in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round after topping round one 49%-44%, a 9.8-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 lead. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million and the largest ever for an Alaska Senate candidate—bolsters her position despite his cash-on-hand edge, amid Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and general election November 3 under ranked-choice voting. Minor candidates trail far behind as the race remains competitive in this red-leaning state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ভলিউম
$302,134শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%) in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round after topping round one 49%-44%, a 9.8-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 lead. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million and the largest ever for an Alaska Senate candidate—bolsters her position despite his cash-on-hand edge, amid Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and general election November 3 under ranked-choice voting. Minor candidates trail far behind as the race remains competitive in this red-leaning state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
ভলিউম
$302,134শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola at 63.5% implied probability to unseat incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan (34.5%) in Alaska's 2026 Senate race, driven by a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing her leading 52%-48% in the final ranked-choice voting round after topping round one 49%-44%, a 9.8-point swing from Sullivan's August 2025 lead. Peltola's Q1 fundraising haul of $8.9 million—quadrupling Sullivan's $2.1 million and the largest ever for an Alaska Senate candidate—bolsters her position despite his cash-on-hand edge, amid Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 and general election November 3 under ranked-choice voting. Minor candidates trail far behind as the race remains competitive in this red-leaning state.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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