Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader consensus behind claude-opus-5-max, as the model delivers near-frontier performance on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks at half the price of the company’s Fable 5 flagship. Independent evaluations and leaderboard positions through early August continue to place Opus 5 variants ahead of competitors, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max, reinforcing its status as the strongest publicly available large language model. With the August 24 resolution date approaching, the market-implied odds reflect expectations that no major new release or benchmark shift will overtake it in the next two weeks. A surprise competitor launch or revised third-party evaluation favoring another model could still narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডclaude-opus-5-max 93%
claude-opus-5-high 5.7%
Other 2.7%
qwen3.8-max 1.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
93%
claude-opus-5-high
6%
Other
3%
qwen3.8-max
2%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1%
claude-opus-5-max 93%
claude-opus-5-high 5.7%
Other 2.7%
qwen3.8-max 1.6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 24, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
$1,844 Vol.
93%
claude-opus-5-high
$179 Vol.
6%
Other
$488 Vol.
3%
qwen3.8-max
$123 Vol.
2%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader consensus behind claude-opus-5-max, as the model delivers near-frontier performance on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks at half the price of the company’s Fable 5 flagship. Independent evaluations and leaderboard positions through early August continue to place Opus 5 variants ahead of competitors, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max, reinforcing its status as the strongest publicly available large language model. With the August 24 resolution date approaching, the market-implied odds reflect expectations that no major new release or benchmark shift will overtake it in the next two weeks. A surprise competitor launch or revised third-party evaluation favoring another model could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,810শেষ তারিখ
Aug 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader consensus behind claude-opus-5-max, as the model delivers near-frontier performance on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks at half the price of the company’s Fable 5 flagship. Independent evaluations and leaderboard positions through early August continue to place Opus 5 variants ahead of competitors, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max, reinforcing its status as the strongest publicly available large language model. With the August 24 resolution date approaching, the market-implied odds reflect expectations that no major new release or benchmark shift will overtake it in the next two weeks. A surprise competitor launch or revised third-party evaluation favoring another model could still narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$2,810শেষ তারিখ
Aug 24, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 8, 2026, 12:15 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 has anchored trader consensus behind claude-opus-5-max, as the model delivers near-frontier performance on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks at half the price of the company’s Fable 5 flagship. Independent evaluations and leaderboard positions through early August continue to place Opus 5 variants ahead of competitors, including OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series and Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max, reinforcing its status as the strongest publicly available large language model. With the August 24 resolution date approaching, the market-implied odds reflect expectations that no major new release or benchmark shift will overtake it in the next two weeks. A surprise competitor launch or revised third-party evaluation favoring another model could still narrow the gap.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা