Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeks a 15th term in California's newly redrawn 4th congressional district under Proposition 50 maps, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones along with multiple Republican candidates in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. The jungle primary format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general regardless of party, with Thompson's long tenure and committee role contrasting Jones's self-funded campaign and outside endorsements. Redistricting introduced substantial new territory, shifting the district's composition and elevating the primary's role in determining general election matchups amid broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$40,292 Vol.
Mike Thompson
98%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
Trevor Merrell
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
Eric Jones
64%
$40,292 Vol.
Mike Thompson
98%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
John Wesley Tyler
1%
Mandy Ghusar
1%
Sharon Brown
<1%
Trevor Merrell
<1%
Heath Fulkerson
<1%
Eric Jones
64%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeks a 15th term in California's newly redrawn 4th congressional district under Proposition 50 maps, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones along with multiple Republican candidates in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary. The jungle primary format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general regardless of party, with Thompson's long tenure and committee role contrasting Jones's self-funded campaign and outside endorsements. Redistricting introduced substantial new territory, shifting the district's composition and elevating the primary's role in determining general election matchups amid broader midterm dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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