Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026 top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District, a D+17 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, buoyed by Democratic Party of California endorsement, superior cash-on-hand exceeding $2.5 million as of late March, and a long record on regional issues like wildfire relief and the wine industry. Progressive challenger Eric Jones, with comparable fundraising over $3 million but rejecting corporate PACs, poses the main intra-party threat via digital outreach targeting younger voters. A fragmented Republican field including Mandy Ghusar and Raymond Riehle trails far in funds, unlikely to advance amid the district's partisan lean; no polls available, but split GOP votes could send both Democrats to the November general. No major developments since March filing deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$20,463 Vol.
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,463 Vol.
Mike Thompson
98%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026 top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District, a D+17 seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters like Cook Political Report, buoyed by Democratic Party of California endorsement, superior cash-on-hand exceeding $2.5 million as of late March, and a long record on regional issues like wildfire relief and the wine industry. Progressive challenger Eric Jones, with comparable fundraising over $3 million but rejecting corporate PACs, poses the main intra-party threat via digital outreach targeting younger voters. A fragmented Republican field including Mandy Ghusar and Raymond Riehle trails far in funds, unlikely to advance amid the district's partisan lean; no polls available, but split GOP votes could send both Democrats to the November general. No major developments since March filing deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা