Thomas Chalifoux holds the leading position in the FL-09 Republican primary due to his 2024 nomination victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition in the redrawn district. Recent congressional map changes approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to an estimated R+15 advantage, strengthening his path as the prior nominee seeking a rematch. The other candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, show limited fundraising and visibility as of early June 2026. The August 18 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign activity or endorsements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডThomas Chalifoux 61%
Marcus Carter 9.9%
Jorge Malavet 8%
Howard Steven Rance 5.3%
$19,840 Vol.
$19,840 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Thomas Chalifoux
53%
Marcus Carter
10%
Jorge Malavet
8%
Howard Steven Rance
5%
Justin Story
4%
Thomas Chalifoux 61%
Marcus Carter 9.9%
Jorge Malavet 8%
Howard Steven Rance 5.3%
$19,840 Vol.
$19,840 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Thomas Chalifoux
$1,290 Vol.
53%
Marcus Carter
$587 Vol.
10%
Jorge Malavet
$2,328 Vol.
8%
Howard Steven Rance
$7,786 Vol.
5%
Justin Story
$7,848 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds the leading position in the FL-09 Republican primary due to his 2024 nomination victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition in the redrawn district. Recent congressional map changes approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to an estimated R+15 advantage, strengthening his path as the prior nominee seeking a rematch. The other candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, show limited fundraising and visibility as of early June 2026. The August 18 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign activity or endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$19,840শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds the leading position in the FL-09 Republican primary due to his 2024 nomination victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition in the redrawn district. Recent congressional map changes approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to an estimated R+15 advantage, strengthening his path as the prior nominee seeking a rematch. The other candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, show limited fundraising and visibility as of early June 2026. The August 18 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign activity or endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$19,840শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Thomas Chalifoux holds the leading position in the FL-09 Republican primary due to his 2024 nomination victory, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and established name recognition in the redrawn district. Recent congressional map changes approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted the seat from a Democratic lean to an estimated R+15 advantage, strengthening his path as the prior nominee seeking a rematch. The other candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, show limited fundraising and visibility as of early June 2026. The August 18 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign activity or endorsements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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