Kevin Steele leads the FL-14 Republican primary field at 73% implied probability ahead of the August 18 contest, driven by his incumbency in the Florida House, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, and endorsements from local Republican officials. The multi-candidate field, including Mike Beltran at 18% and lower shares for Ergin Tek, John Peters, Robert Rochford, and others, fragments support and favors the best-organized contender. A mid-July poll showed Beltran ahead, yet trader consensus reflects Steele's structural advantages in name recognition and resources as the primary nears. Resolution depends on vote totals in the newly redrawn Hillsborough-area district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডKevin Steele 73%
Mike Beltran 18%
John Peters 7.2%
Ergin "Batman" Tek 6.7%
Kevin Steele
73%
Mike Beltran
18%
John Peters
7%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
7%
Michael Marcel
4%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
3%
Bea Valenti
3%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Kevin Steele 73%
Mike Beltran 18%
John Peters 7.2%
Ergin "Batman" Tek 6.7%
Kevin Steele
73%
Mike Beltran
18%
John Peters
7%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
7%
Michael Marcel
4%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
3%
Bea Valenti
3%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin Steele leads the FL-14 Republican primary field at 73% implied probability ahead of the August 18 contest, driven by his incumbency in the Florida House, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.5 million, and endorsements from local Republican officials. The multi-candidate field, including Mike Beltran at 18% and lower shares for Ergin Tek, John Peters, Robert Rochford, and others, fragments support and favors the best-organized contender. A mid-July poll showed Beltran ahead, yet trader consensus reflects Steele's structural advantages in name recognition and resources as the primary nears. Resolution depends on vote totals in the newly redrawn Hillsborough-area district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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