Trader consensus favors Republicans at 73% implied probability for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46% in the Emerson College survey (March 29-31) and leading general election hypotheticals 44%-39% over Democrat David Jolly. Donalds' record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising haul and reported Donald Trump endorsement have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded Republican field including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback. Florida Republicans hold a voter registration advantage, reinforcing the state's rightward shift since 2022, though Democrat-aligned polls show tighter races. Primaries are August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$14,209 Vol.
$14,209 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
74%
Democrat
26%
$14,209 Vol.
$14,209 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$5,565 Vol.
74%
Democrat
$8,644 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 73% implied probability for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46% in the Emerson College survey (March 29-31) and leading general election hypotheticals 44%-39% over Democrat David Jolly. Donalds' record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising haul and reported Donald Trump endorsement have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded Republican field including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback. Florida Republicans hold a voter registration advantage, reinforcing the state's rightward shift since 2022, though Democrat-aligned polls show tighter races. Primaries are August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,209শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 73% implied probability for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46% in the Emerson College survey (March 29-31) and leading general election hypotheticals 44%-39% over Democrat David Jolly. Donalds' record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising haul and reported Donald Trump endorsement have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded Republican field including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback. Florida Republicans hold a voter registration advantage, reinforcing the state's rightward shift since 2022, though Democrat-aligned polls show tighter races. Primaries are August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$14,209শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 73% implied probability for the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election, driven by recent polling showing U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominating the GOP primary at 46% in the Emerson College survey (March 29-31) and leading general election hypotheticals 44%-39% over Democrat David Jolly. Donalds' record $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising haul and reported Donald Trump endorsement have solidified his frontrunner status in a crowded Republican field including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and James Fishback. Florida Republicans hold a voter registration advantage, reinforcing the state's rightward shift since 2022, though Democrat-aligned polls show tighter races. Primaries are August 18 ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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