Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23, driven primarily by Anthropic's launch of Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, which showcased superior benchmarks in coding, vision, and agentic tasks, prompting expectations of a swift competitive response in the intensifying AI model wars. This follows OpenAI President Greg Brockman's early April tease of codenamed "Spud"—a new pre-trained large language model representing two years of research with enhanced reasoning and omnimodal capabilities—and recent rollouts like GPT-5.4-Cyber on April 14. While no official announcement confirms GPT-5.5, the low 4.8% odds for no release by April 30 reflect traders' confidence in OpenAI's rapid iteration cadence amid regulatory scrutiny and benchmark races; watch for developer conference hints or enterprise previews this week that could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGPT-5.5 released on...?
GPT-5.5 released on...?
April 23 83%
No release by April 30 5.2%
April 30 3.7%
April 21 3.0%
$128,694 Vol.
$128,694 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 17
<1%
April 18
<1%
April 19
<1%
April 20
2%
April 21
3%
April 22
1%
April 23
83%
April 24
2%
April 25
<1%
April 26
1%
April 27
2%
April 28
2%
April 29
1%
April 30
4%
No release by April 30
5%
April 23 83%
No release by April 30 5.2%
April 30 3.7%
April 21 3.0%
$128,694 Vol.
$128,694 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 17
$2,956 Vol.
<1%
April 18
$2,130 Vol.
<1%
April 19
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
April 20
$2,326 Vol.
2%
April 21
$3,458 Vol.
3%
April 22
$5,009 Vol.
1%
April 23
$27,120 Vol.
83%
April 24
$2,650 Vol.
2%
April 25
$1,552 Vol.
<1%
April 26
$1,910 Vol.
1%
April 27
$2,333 Vol.
2%
April 28
$2,819 Vol.
2%
April 29
$2,407 Vol.
1%
April 30
$4,232 Vol.
4%
No release by April 30
$6,577 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23, driven primarily by Anthropic's launch of Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, which showcased superior benchmarks in coding, vision, and agentic tasks, prompting expectations of a swift competitive response in the intensifying AI model wars. This follows OpenAI President Greg Brockman's early April tease of codenamed "Spud"—a new pre-trained large language model representing two years of research with enhanced reasoning and omnimodal capabilities—and recent rollouts like GPT-5.4-Cyber on April 14. While no official announcement confirms GPT-5.5, the low 4.8% odds for no release by April 30 reflect traders' confidence in OpenAI's rapid iteration cadence amid regulatory scrutiny and benchmark races; watch for developer conference hints or enterprise previews this week that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$128,694শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23, driven primarily by Anthropic's launch of Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, which showcased superior benchmarks in coding, vision, and agentic tasks, prompting expectations of a swift competitive response in the intensifying AI model wars. This follows OpenAI President Greg Brockman's early April tease of codenamed "Spud"—a new pre-trained large language model representing two years of research with enhanced reasoning and omnimodal capabilities—and recent rollouts like GPT-5.4-Cyber on April 14. While no official announcement confirms GPT-5.5, the low 4.8% odds for no release by April 30 reflect traders' confidence in OpenAI's rapid iteration cadence amid regulatory scrutiny and benchmark races; watch for developer conference hints or enterprise previews this week that could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$128,694শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82.5% implied probability to an OpenAI GPT-5.5 release on April 23, driven primarily by Anthropic's launch of Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, which showcased superior benchmarks in coding, vision, and agentic tasks, prompting expectations of a swift competitive response in the intensifying AI model wars. This follows OpenAI President Greg Brockman's early April tease of codenamed "Spud"—a new pre-trained large language model representing two years of research with enhanced reasoning and omnimodal capabilities—and recent rollouts like GPT-5.4-Cyber on April 14. While no official announcement confirms GPT-5.5, the low 4.8% odds for no release by April 30 reflect traders' confidence in OpenAI's rapid iteration cadence amid regulatory scrutiny and benchmark races; watch for developer conference hints or enterprise previews this week that could shift sentiment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা