This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 15, 2026 deadlock on the Jessica Mann rape charge after three attempts, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year California sentence, have shaped trader consensus around high odds for no additional prison time. The former Miramax co-founder, now 74 and described in court filings as medically fragile after years at Rikers, faces limited upside from further prosecution amid #MeToo-era fatigue and prosecutorial discretion on a potential fourth trial. California appeals and any plea negotiations add further uncertainty, while historical patterns of reduced sentences for elderly defendants in similar cases reinforce the market’s emphasis on time served and release timelines over extended incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 15, 2026 deadlock on the Jessica Mann rape charge after three attempts, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year California sentence, have shaped trader consensus around high odds for no additional prison time. The former Miramax co-founder, now 74 and described in court filings as medically fragile after years at Rikers, faces limited upside from further prosecution amid #MeToo-era fatigue and prosecutorial discretion on a potential fourth trial. California appeals and any plea negotiations add further uncertainty, while historical patterns of reduced sentences for elderly defendants in similar cases reinforce the market’s emphasis on time served and release timelines over extended incarceration.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
Jun 4 2026
Harvey Weinstein's third New York trial ends in mistrial due to deadlocked jury
No Prison Time surges to 84%54%
The jury was unable to reach a unanimous verdict on the rape charge, leading the judge to declare a mistrial. This outcome strongly increased the market's confidence in "No Prison Time" as the retrial did not conclude with a prison sentence.
May 15 2026
Judge Declares Mistrial in Harvey Weinstein's Third New York Rape Trial After Jury Deadlocks
No Prison Time surges to 84%54%
Judge Curtis Farber declared a mistrial after the jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on the single charge of third-degree rape, driving the 'No Prison Time' outcome to 84%.
May 15 2026
Prosecutors deliver closing arguments urging jury to convict Harvey Weinstein
No Prison Time surges to 89%19%
Prosecutors emphasized the power dynamics and strength of accusers, urging the jury to hold Weinstein accountable, which temporarily affected market prices but did not decisively shift outcome probabilities.
May 12 2026
Harvey Weinstein's defense seeks acquittal as rape retrial nears conclusion
No Prison Time surges to 84%54%
Defense attorneys urged the jury to acquit Weinstein, arguing the accuser fabricated the allegations, signaling a strong defense push that influenced market expectations toward lower prison time probabilities.
Apr 21 2026
Harvey Weinstein's Third New York Rape Retrial Opens with Opening Statements
10-20 years jumps to 25%12%
The third trial focused solely on the single charge of third-degree rape involving Jessica Mann, with prosecutors and defense presenting contrasting narratives of power and consent.
Apr 14 2026
Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial opens focusing on Jessica Mann charge
The retrial narrowed to a single rape charge involving Jessica Mann, with jury selection underway and new legal strategies employed. This renewed the market's attention on the possibility of a prison sentence but with continued uncertainty.
Feb 10 2026
Harvey Weinstein Replaces Legal Team with High-Profile Defense Attorneys Ahead of Third Trial
<5 years surges to 56%53%
Weinstein shook up his legal representation by hiring Jacob Kaplan and Marc Agnifilo, known for representing high-profile clients, to defend him in his upcoming third New York rape trial.
Jun 13 2025
Mistrial declared in Harvey Weinstein's New York rape retrial due to deadlocked jury
No Prison Time rises to 9%2%
The jury failed to reach a unanimous verdict on the rape charge involving Jessica Mann, leading the judge to declare a mistrial. This increased uncertainty about a prison sentence from this retrial, pushing market prices toward "No Prison Time."
Jun 11 2025
Harvey Weinstein Convicted of Sexually Abusing Miriam Haley but Jury Deadlocks on Rape Charge
No Prison Time surges to 41%27%
Weinstein was found guilty of a first-degree criminal sexual act against Miriam Haley, but the jury deadlocked on the third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann, leading to a partial verdict and a mistrial on that count.
Jun 10 2025
Harvey Weinstein convicted of sexually abusing Miriam Haley but acquitted of assaulting Kaja Sokola
5-10 years jumps to 13%11%
The jury found Weinstein guilty of sexually assaulting Miriam Haley but acquitted him on the charge involving Kaja Sokola, with no verdict reached on the rape charge involving Jessica Mann. This partial verdict caused market shifts reflecting mixed expectations for prison time.
May 14 2025
Harvey Weinstein's New York retrial begins with opening statements and new accuser
The retrial started with prosecutors presenting their case and a new accuser testifying, renewing focus on Weinstein's alleged sexual crimes. This event marked the official restart of the legal process, influencing market prices as uncertainty about the outcome was high.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 15, 2026 deadlock on the Jessica Mann rape charge after three attempts, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year California sentence, have shaped trader consensus around high odds for no additional prison time. The former Miramax co-founder, now 74 and described in court filings as medically fragile after years at Rikers, faces limited upside from further prosecution amid #MeToo-era fatigue and prosecutorial discretion on a potential fourth trial. California appeals and any plea negotiations add further uncertainty, while historical patterns of reduced sentences for elderly defendants in similar cases reinforce the market’s emphasis on time served and release timelines over extended incarceration.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent mistrials in Harvey Weinstein’s New York retrial, including the May 15, 2026 deadlock on the Jessica Mann rape charge after three attempts, combined with ongoing appeals of his 16-year California sentence, have shaped trader consensus around high odds for no additional prison time. The former Miramax co-founder, now 74 and described in court filings as medically fragile after years at Rikers, faces limited upside from further prosecution amid #MeToo-era fatigue and prosecutorial discretion on a potential fourth trial. California appeals and any plea negotiations add further uncertainty, while historical patterns of reduced sentences for elderly defendants in similar cases reinforce the market’s emphasis on time served and release timelines over extended incarceration.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
Jun 4 2026
Harvey Weinstein's third New York trial ends in mistrial due to deadlocked jury
No Prison Time surges to 84%54%
The jury was unable to reach a unanimous verdict on the rape charge, leading the judge to declare a mistrial. This outcome strongly increased the market's confidence in "No Prison Time" as the retrial did not conclude with a prison sentence.
May 15 2026
Judge Declares Mistrial in Harvey Weinstein's Third New York Rape Trial After Jury Deadlocks
No Prison Time surges to 84%54%
Judge Curtis Farber declared a mistrial after the jury deadlocked 9-3 in favor of acquittal on the single charge of third-degree rape, driving the 'No Prison Time' outcome to 84%.
May 15 2026
Prosecutors deliver closing arguments urging jury to convict Harvey Weinstein
No Prison Time surges to 89%19%
Prosecutors emphasized the power dynamics and strength of accusers, urging the jury to hold Weinstein accountable, which temporarily affected market prices but did not decisively shift outcome probabilities.
May 12 2026
Harvey Weinstein's defense seeks acquittal as rape retrial nears conclusion
No Prison Time surges to 84%54%
Defense attorneys urged the jury to acquit Weinstein, arguing the accuser fabricated the allegations, signaling a strong defense push that influenced market expectations toward lower prison time probabilities.
Apr 21 2026
Harvey Weinstein's Third New York Rape Retrial Opens with Opening Statements
10-20 years jumps to 25%12%
The third trial focused solely on the single charge of third-degree rape involving Jessica Mann, with prosecutors and defense presenting contrasting narratives of power and consent.
Apr 14 2026
Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial opens focusing on Jessica Mann charge
The retrial narrowed to a single rape charge involving Jessica Mann, with jury selection underway and new legal strategies employed. This renewed the market's attention on the possibility of a prison sentence but with continued uncertainty.
Feb 10 2026
Harvey Weinstein Replaces Legal Team with High-Profile Defense Attorneys Ahead of Third Trial
<5 years surges to 56%53%
Weinstein shook up his legal representation by hiring Jacob Kaplan and Marc Agnifilo, known for representing high-profile clients, to defend him in his upcoming third New York rape trial.
Jun 13 2025
Mistrial declared in Harvey Weinstein's New York rape retrial due to deadlocked jury
No Prison Time rises to 9%2%
The jury failed to reach a unanimous verdict on the rape charge involving Jessica Mann, leading the judge to declare a mistrial. This increased uncertainty about a prison sentence from this retrial, pushing market prices toward "No Prison Time."
Jun 11 2025
Harvey Weinstein Convicted of Sexually Abusing Miriam Haley but Jury Deadlocks on Rape Charge
No Prison Time surges to 41%27%
Weinstein was found guilty of a first-degree criminal sexual act against Miriam Haley, but the jury deadlocked on the third-degree rape charge involving Jessica Mann, leading to a partial verdict and a mistrial on that count.
Jun 10 2025
Harvey Weinstein convicted of sexually abusing Miriam Haley but acquitted of assaulting Kaja Sokola
5-10 years jumps to 13%11%
The jury found Weinstein guilty of sexually assaulting Miriam Haley but acquitted him on the charge involving Kaja Sokola, with no verdict reached on the rape charge involving Jessica Mann. This partial verdict caused market shifts reflecting mixed expectations for prison time.
May 14 2025
Harvey Weinstein's New York retrial begins with opening statements and new accuser
The retrial started with prosecutors presenting their case and a new accuser testifying, renewing focus on Weinstein's alleged sexual crimes. This event marked the official restart of the legal process, influencing market prices as uncertainty about the outcome was high.
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?" হলো Polymarket-এ 6 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "কারাদণ্ড নয়" 84%-এ, তারপর "২০-৩০ বছর" 7%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।
আজ পর্যন্ত, "হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?" মোট $1.1 million ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট May 12, 2025-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 6 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "কারাদণ্ড নয়" 84%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 84% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "২০-৩০ বছর" 7%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।
হ্যাঁ। তথ্যবান থাকতে আপনাকে ট্রেড করতে হবে না। এই পেজটি "হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এর একটি লাইভ ট্র্যাকার হিসেবে কাজ করে। নতুন ট্রেড আসলে ফলাফল সম্ভাবনা রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।
Polymarket অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্বাসের পেছনে প্রকৃত অর্থ রাখে, যা নির্ভুল প্রেডিকশন সামনে আনতে থাকে। "হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এ $1.1 million ট্রেড হওয়ায়, এই দামগুলো হাজারো অংশগ্রহণকারীর সম্মিলিত জ্ঞান ও প্রত্যয় একত্রিত করে — প্রায়ই পোল, বিশেষজ্ঞ ফোরকাস্ট ও ঐতিহ্যবাহী সার্ভেকে ছাড়িয়ে যায়। Polymarket-এর এক মাসের নির্ভুলতা স্কোর 94%। Polymarket-এর প্রেডিকশন নির্ভুলতার সর্বশেষ পরিসংখ্যানের জন্য, দেখুন accuracy পেজ Polymarket-এ।
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এ আপনার প্রথম ট্রেড করতে, একটি বিনামূল্যে Polymarket অ্যাকাউন্টে সাইন আপ করুন এবং ক্রিপ্টো, ক্রেডিট বা ডেবিট কার্ড, বা ব্যাংক ট্রান্সফার ব্যবহার করে ফান্ড করুন। অ্যাকাউন্ট ফান্ড হলে, এই পেজে ফিরে আসুন, যে ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে চান সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন।
Polymarket-এ, প্রতিটি ফলাফলের দাম মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে। "হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?" মার্কেটে "কারাদণ্ড নয়"-এর জন্য 84¢ দামে মানে ট্রেডাররা সম্মিলিতভাবে "কারাদণ্ড নয়" সঠিক ফলাফল হওয়ার প্রায় 84% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। আপনি 84¢-এ "Yes" শেয়ার কিনলে এবং ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনি প্রতি শেয়ারে $1.00 পাবেন — প্রতি শেয়ারে 16¢ লাভ।
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?" মার্কেটের নির্ধারিত শেষ তারিখ পার হয়ে গেছে, কিন্তু মার্কেট এখনো আনুষ্ঠানিকভাবে রেজলভ হয়নি। শেষ তারিখ নির্দেশ করে কখন অন্তর্নিহিত ইভেন্ট ঘটবে বা জানা যাবে বলে আশা করা হয়। এটি ট্রেডিং বন্ধের মুহূর্ত নয়।
"হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?" মার্কেটে 21 মন্তব্যের একটি সক্রিয় কমিউনিটি আছে যেখানে ট্রেডাররা তাদের বিশ্লেষণ শেয়ার করে, ফলাফল নিয়ে বিতর্ক করে এবং ব্রেকিং ডেভেলপমেন্ট আলোচনা করে। অন্য অংশগ্রহণকারীরা কী মনে করেন পড়তে নিচে মন্তব্য সেকশনে স্ক্রল করুন।
Polymarket হলো বিশ্বের সবচেয়ে বড় প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট, যেখানে আপনি বাস্তব-বিশ্বের ইভেন্টের জ্ঞান থেকে তথ্যবান থাকতে ও লাভ করতে পারেন। ট্রেডাররা রাজনীতি ও নির্বাচন থেকে ক্রিপ্টো, ফাইন্যান্স, স্পোর্টস, টেক ও কালচার পর্যন্ত টপিকের ফলাফলে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে, "হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?"-এর মতো মার্কেট সহ।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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