Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 37.1% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, fueled by persistent appeals and the kickoff of his third New York rape retrial this week, where jury selection wrapped up ahead of Tuesday's opening statements. This follows a 2025 partial conviction on a criminal sex act charge—upheld despite challenges—and a mistrial on the rape count, alongside his standing 16-year California rape sentence from 2022, which lawyers continue contesting using New York precedents. At 74, Weinstein's frail health and prior conviction overturns amplify uncertainty, positioning 20-30 years (25.4%) and 10-20 years (23.7%) as viable if appeals falter, with trial outcomes as the pivotal near-term catalyst in this protracted #MeToo legal saga.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
হার্ভি ওয়েইনস্টাইনের কারাগারের সময়?
কারাদণ্ড নয় 37.1%
২০-৩০ বছর 25.4%
১০-২০ বছর 23.7%
5-10 years 6.3%
$834,588 Vol.
$834,588 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
37%
৫ বছরের কম
3%
5-10 years
6%
১০-২০ বছর
24%
২০-৩০ বছর
25%
30+ years
5%
কারাদণ্ড নয় 37.1%
২০-৩০ বছর 25.4%
১০-২০ বছর 23.7%
5-10 years 6.3%
$834,588 Vol.
$834,588 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
কারাদণ্ড নয়
$318,014 Vol.
37%
৫ বছরের কম
$93,266 Vol.
3%
5-10 years
$52,110 Vol.
6%
১০-২০ বছর
$138,273 Vol.
24%
২০-৩০ বছর
$177,920 Vol.
25%
30+ years
$55,005 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 37.1% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, fueled by persistent appeals and the kickoff of his third New York rape retrial this week, where jury selection wrapped up ahead of Tuesday's opening statements. This follows a 2025 partial conviction on a criminal sex act charge—upheld despite challenges—and a mistrial on the rape count, alongside his standing 16-year California rape sentence from 2022, which lawyers continue contesting using New York precedents. At 74, Weinstein's frail health and prior conviction overturns amplify uncertainty, positioning 20-30 years (25.4%) and 10-20 years (23.7%) as viable if appeals falter, with trial outcomes as the pivotal near-term catalyst in this protracted #MeToo legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$834,588শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 37.1% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, fueled by persistent appeals and the kickoff of his third New York rape retrial this week, where jury selection wrapped up ahead of Tuesday's opening statements. This follows a 2025 partial conviction on a criminal sex act charge—upheld despite challenges—and a mistrial on the rape count, alongside his standing 16-year California rape sentence from 2022, which lawyers continue contesting using New York precedents. At 74, Weinstein's frail health and prior conviction overturns amplify uncertainty, positioning 20-30 years (25.4%) and 10-20 years (23.7%) as viable if appeals falter, with trial outcomes as the pivotal near-term catalyst in this protracted #MeToo legal saga.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$834,588শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 37.1% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, fueled by persistent appeals and the kickoff of his third New York rape retrial this week, where jury selection wrapped up ahead of Tuesday's opening statements. This follows a 2025 partial conviction on a criminal sex act charge—upheld despite challenges—and a mistrial on the rape count, alongside his standing 16-year California rape sentence from 2022, which lawyers continue contesting using New York precedents. At 74, Weinstein's frail health and prior conviction overturns amplify uncertainty, positioning 20-30 years (25.4%) and 10-20 years (23.7%) as viable if appeals falter, with trial outcomes as the pivotal near-term catalyst in this protracted #MeToo legal saga.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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