The DOJ inquiry reported in late May 2026 into potential perjury by E. Jean Carroll in a 2022 deposition—centered on undisclosed litigation funding from Reid Hoffman’s nonprofit—remains the central driver of trader pricing near even odds for federal charges by year-end. The U.S. Attorney for the Northern District of Illinois promptly denied opening any criminal investigation targeting Carroll herself, with subsequent reporting indicating the probe’s focus shifted primarily to Hoffman and possible money-laundering or conspiracy angles. No charges, indictments, or arrests have occurred despite the political context of the Trump administration. Federal perjury cases carry high evidentiary thresholds and prosecutorial discretion, especially where civil testimony discrepancies are at issue and the subject has not been formally targeted. The June 2026 Supreme Court decision upholding Carroll’s $5 million verdict has not altered the investigative timeline or introduced new public developments that would shift implied probabilities.