Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 Vol.
$73,001 Vol.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$73,001 Vol.
$73,001 Vol.
May 6, 2026
7°C or below
$548 Vol.
No
8°C
$384 Vol.
No
9°C
$402 Vol.
No
10°C
$754 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,416 Vol.
No
12°C
$5,347 Vol.
No
13°C
$13,111 Vol.
No
14°C
$8,764 Vol.
No
15°C
$9,618 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$14,585 Vol.
No
17°C or higher
$16,072 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
ভলিউম
$73,001শেষ তারিখ
May 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$73,001শেষ তারিখ
May 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C in Ankara on May 6 at Esenboğa International Airport, driven by Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observational data recording that peak amid persistent northerly winds and extensive cloud cover from an ongoing cold air outbreak. Hourly readings show temperatures stabilizing below 15°C after midday, consistent with model consensus from MGM and international forecasts projecting no further warming under overcast skies and light precipitation risks. This positioning reflects Ankara's atypical May chill, well below the climatological average high of around 21°C. Realistic challenges would require abrupt clearing and solar heating before midnight, though low sun angles and wind shear make this unlikely; final MGM daily summary expected post-UTC midnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা